Bayesian inference for misspecified generative models

DJ Nott, C Drovandi, DT Frazier - Annual Review of Statistics …, 2023 - annualreviews.org
Bayesian inference is a powerful tool for combining information in complex settings, a task of
increasing importance in modern applications. However, Bayesian inference with a flawed …

Inducing sparsity and shrinkage in time-varying parameter models

F Huber, G Koop, L Onorante - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Time-varying parameter (TVP) models have the potential to be over-parameterized,
particularly when the number of variables in the model is large. Global-local priors are …

Model interpretation through lower-dimensional posterior summarization

S Woody, CM Carvalho, JS Murray - Journal of Computational and …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
Nonparametric regression models have recently surged in their power and popularity,
accompanying the trend of increasing dataset size and complexity. While these models have …

Bayesian variable selection for understanding mixtures in environmental exposures

DR Kowal, M Bravo, H Leong, A Bui… - Statistics in …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Social and environmental stressors are crucial factors in child development. However, there
exists a multitude of measurable social and environmental factors—the effects of which may …

Fast, optimal, and targeted predictions using parameterized decision analysis

DR Kowal - Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Prediction is critical for decision-making under uncertainty and lends validity to statistical
inference. With targeted prediction, the goal is to optimize predictions for specific decision …

Incorporating different sources of information for Bayesian optimal portfolio selection

O Bodnar, T Bodnar, V Niklasson - Journal of business & economic …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This article introduces Bayesian inference procedures for tangency portfolios, with a primary
focus on deriving a new conjugate prior for portfolio weights. This approach not only enables …

Bayesian subset selection and variable importance for interpretable prediction and classification

DR Kowal - Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2022 - jmlr.org
Subset selection is a valuable tool for interpretable learning, scientific discovery, and data
compression. However, classical subset selection is often avoided due to selection …

Tree ensembles with rule structured horseshoe regularization

M Nalenz, M Villani - The Annals of Applied Statistics, 2018 - JSTOR
We propose a new Bayesian model for flexible nonlinear regression and classification using
tree ensembles. The model is based on the RuleFit approach in Friedman and Popescu …

Bayesian adaptive and interpretable functional regression for exposure profiles

Y Gao, DR Kowal - The Annals of Applied Statistics, 2024 - projecteuclid.org
Bayesian adaptive and interpretable functional regression for exposure profiles Page 1 The
Annals of Applied Statistics 2024, Vol. 18, No. 1, 642–663 https://doi.org/10.1214/23-AOAS1805 …

Combining shrinkage and sparsity in conjugate vector autoregressive models

N Hauzenberger, F Huber… - Journal of Applied …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Conjugate priors allow for fast inference in large dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR)
models. But at the same time, they introduce the restriction that each equation features the …