A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation

EN Iftekhar, V Priesemann, R Balling… - The Lancet Regional …, 2021 - thelancet.com
How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months
and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence …

SARS-CoV-2 variants, immune escape, and countermeasures

Y Zhang, H Zhang, W Zhang - Frontiers of medicine, 2022 - Springer
Abstract Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a global pandemic disease.
SARS-CoV-2 variants have aroused great concern and are expected to continue spreading …

Retrospectively modeling the effects of increased global vaccine sharing on the COVID-19 pandemic

S Moore, EM Hill, L Dyson, MJ Tildesley, MJ Keeling - Nature Medicine, 2022 - nature.com
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has caused
considerable morbidity and mortality worldwide. The protection provided by vaccines and …

Understanding the effectiveness of government interventions against the resurgence of COVID-19 in Europe

M Sharma, S Mindermann, C Rogers-Smith… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
European governments use non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to control resurging
waves of COVID-19. However, they only have outdated estimates for how effective individual …

SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties

M Oliu-Barton, BSR Pradelski, P Aghion, P Artus… - The Lancet, 2021 - thelancet.com
3 Priyamvatha P. How India's second Covid wave started, what went wrong, and what can
be done: top virologist answers. India Today, April 28, 2021. https://www. indiatoday …

The epidemiological impact of the NHS COVID-19 app

C Wymant, L Ferretti, D Tsallis, M Charalambides… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
The COVID-19 pandemic has seen the emergence of digital contact tracing to help to
prevent the spread of the disease. A mobile phone app records proximity events between …

[HTML][HTML] Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold

MGM Gomes, MU Ferreira, RM Corder, JG King… - Journal of theoretical …, 2022 - Elsevier
Individual variation in susceptibility and exposure is subject to selection by natural infection,
accelerating the acquisition of immunity, and reducing herd immunity thresholds and …

Untangling introductions and persistence in COVID-19 resurgence in Europe

P Lemey, N Ruktanonchai, SL Hong, V Colizza… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
After the first wave of SARS-CoV-2 infections in spring 2020, Europe experienced a
resurgence of the virus starting in late summer 2020 that was deadlier and more difficult to …

Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study

R Sonabend, LK Whittles, N Imai, PN Perez-Guzman… - The Lancet, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown policy set out the timeline and
conditions for the stepwise lifting of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) as vaccination …

Government responses and COVID-19 deaths: Global evidence across multiple pandemic waves

T Hale, N Angrist, AJ Hale, B Kira, S Majumdar… - PloS one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
We provide an assessment of the impact of government closure and containment measures
on deaths from COVID-19 across sequential waves of the COVID-19 pandemic globally …