Causal inference for time series

J Runge, A Gerhardus, G Varando, V Eyring… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Many research questions in Earth and environmental sciences are inherently causal,
requiring robust analyses to establish whether and how changes in one variable cause …

[HTML][HTML] Climate tip** point interactions and cascades: a review

N Wunderling, AS von der Heydt… - Earth System …, 2024 - esd.copernicus.org
Climate tip** elements are large-scale subsystems of the Earth that may transgress critical
thresholds (tip** points) under ongoing global warming, with substantial impacts on the …

Drivers behind the summer 2010 wave train leading to Russian heatwave and Pakistan flooding

G Di Capua, S Sparrow, K Kornhuber, E Rousi… - npj Climate and …, 2021 - nature.com
Summer 2010 saw two simultaneous extremes linked by an atmospheric wave train: a
record-breaking heatwave in Russia and severe floods in Pakistan. Here, we study this …

Quantifying causal pathways of teleconnections

M Kretschmer, SV Adams, A Arribas… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Teleconnections are sources of predictability for regional weather and climate, but the
relative contributions of different teleconnections to regional anomalies are usually not …

Interconnection between the Indian and the East Asian summer monsoon: Spatial synchronization patterns of extreme rainfall events

S Gupta, Z Su, N Boers, J Kurths… - International Journal …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A deeper understanding of the intricate relationship between the two components of the
Asian summer monsoon (ASM)—the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) and the East Asian …

Indian summer monsoon precipitation dominates the reproduction of Circumglobal teleconnection pattern: A comparison of CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

H Yu, T Zhou, L He - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
The zonal wavenumber-5 circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) pattern is one of the most
critical atmospheric teleconnection patterns during boreal summer over the Northern …

Impact of long‐distance interaction indicator (monsoon indices) on spatio‐temporal variability of precipitation over the Mahanadi River basin

RT Sahu, MK Verma, I Ahmad - Water Resources Research, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The variability of the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR), lasting from June to
September, has a major impact on the Indian economy and ecosystem. An attempt to assess …

[HTML][HTML] Impacts of compound hot–dry extremes on US soybean yields

R Hamed, AF Van Loon, J Aerts… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
The US agriculture system supplies more than one-third of globally traded soybean, and
with 90% of US soybean produced under rainfed agriculture, soybean trade is particularly …

What do large‐scale patterns teach us about extreme precipitation over the Mediterranean at medium‐and extended‐range forecasts?

N Mastrantonas, L Magnusson… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Extreme precipitation events (EPEs) can have devastating consequences, such as floods
and landslides, posing a great threat to society and economy. Predicting such events long in …

Dynamical mechanisms linking Indian monsoon precipitation and the circumglobal teleconnection

JD Beverley, SJ Woolnough, LH Baker, SJ Johnson… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
The circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) is an important mode of circulation variability, with
an influence across many parts of the northern hemisphere. Here, we examine the excitation …