[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic solar power forecasting: An economic and technical evaluation of an optimal market bidding strategy

LR Visser, TA AlSkaif, A Khurram, J Kleissl, W van Sark - Applied Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Solar forecasting is a rapidly evolving field that can substantially contribute to the effective
integration of large amounts of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity into the electricity system …

Uncertainty Quantification Based on Conformal Prediction for Industrial Time Series With Distribution Shift

R Zhang, P Zhou - IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2025 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Conformal prediction (CP) is known to theoretically guarantee prediction interval coverage
under the exchangeability assumption. However, industrial time series collected from real …

Decision Theoretic Foundations for Conformal Prediction: Optimal Uncertainty Quantification for Risk-Averse Agents

S Kiyani, G Pappas, A Roth, H Hassani - arxiv preprint arxiv:2502.02561, 2025 - arxiv.org
A fundamental question in data-driven decision making is how to quantify the uncertainty of
predictions in ways that can usefully inform downstream action. This interface between …

Conformal Uncertainty Quantification of Electricity Price Predictions for Risk-Averse Storage Arbitrage

S Alghumayjan, M Yi, B Xu - arxiv preprint arxiv:2412.07075, 2024 - arxiv.org
This paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage, leveraging
conformal uncertainty quantification for electricity price predictions. The method addresses …