[HTML][HTML] Are we on the right path to achieve the sustainable development goals?
Abstract The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) call upon all countries to achieve 17
broad development goals by 2030. The SDGs are a central component of many national …
broad development goals by 2030. The SDGs are a central component of many national …
Evolution and prospects of Earth system models: Challenges and opportunities
Earth system models (ESMs) serve as vital tools for comprehensively simulating the intricate
interplay of physical, chemical, and biological processes across the Earth system's diverse …
interplay of physical, chemical, and biological processes across the Earth system's diverse …
Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity
Weak governance is one of the key obstacles for sustainable development. Undoubtedly,
improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits, including countries' …
improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits, including countries' …
How many people is the COVID-19 pandemic pushing into poverty? A long-term forecast to 2050 with alternative scenarios
The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the course of human development. In this manuscript
we analyze the long-term effect of COVID-19 on poverty at the country-level across various …
we analyze the long-term effect of COVID-19 on poverty at the country-level across various …
Modeling transformational policy pathways on low growth and negative growth scenarios to assess impacts on socioeconomic development and carbon emissions
JD Moyer - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
Degrowth advocates argue for structural transformations in how economies and societies
prioritize material wealth accumulation to reduce the negative effects of future anthropogenic …
prioritize material wealth accumulation to reduce the negative effects of future anthropogenic …
Enhancing the relevance of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability research
This paper discusses the role and relevance of the shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)
and the new scenarios that combine SSPs with representative concentration pathways …
and the new scenarios that combine SSPs with representative concentration pathways …
[HTML][HTML] Blessed are the peacemakers: The future burden of intrastate conflict on poverty
JD Moyer - World Development, 2023 - Elsevier
Intrastate conflict generally undermines human development but its effect on global poverty
across different income thresholds remains poorly understood. This paper analyzes how …
across different income thresholds remains poorly understood. This paper analyzes how …
Violence in Africa-trends, drivers and prospects to 2023
J Cilliers - ISS Africa Report, 2018 - journals.co.za
This report analyses prospects for violence in Africa to 2023. It first presents recent conflict
trends including slowly declining fatality rates in several countries, noting Africa's large …
trends including slowly declining fatality rates in several countries, noting Africa's large …
[HTML][HTML] Projecting long-term armed conflict risk: An underappreciated field of inquiry?
Little research has been done on projecting long-term conflict risks. Such projections are
currently neither included in the development of socioeconomic scenarios or climate change …
currently neither included in the development of socioeconomic scenarios or climate change …
Power and influence in Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa
This paper explores the changing power capabilities of Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and
South Africa (the'Big Five') over the next 25 years. Of these countries, Ethiopia and Nigeria …
South Africa (the'Big Five') over the next 25 years. Of these countries, Ethiopia and Nigeria …