A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

With ever-growing data availability and computational power at our disposal, we now have
the capacity to use process-explicit models more widely to reveal the ecological and …

Research on the thermal ecology and physiology of free‐living organisms is accelerating as
scientists and managers recognize the urgency of the global biodiversity crisis brought on by …

The accuracy of predictive models (also known as mechanistic or causal models) of animal
responses to climate change depends on properly incorporating the principles of heat …

Plant–animal interactions are fundamentally important in ecosystems, but have often been
ignored by studies of climate-change impacts on biodiversity. Here, we present a trait-based …

Coincident with recent global warming, species have shifted their geographic distributions to
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …

Addressing climate change and biodiversity loss will be the defining ecological, political,
and humanitarian challenge of our time. Alarmingly, policymakers face a narrowing window …

Predictions of future biological invasions often rely on the assumption that introduced
species establish only under climatic conditions similar to those in their native range. To …

Considerable research is aimed at develo** predictions of ecosystem responses to
climate change, focusing on the spatial scale, such as range shifts and contractions, as well …