Stochastic climate theory and modeling

CLE Franzke, TJ O'Kane, J Berner… - Wiley …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Stochastic methods are a crucial area in contemporary climate research and are
increasingly being used in comprehensive weather and climate prediction models as well as …

Towards the probabilistic Earth‐system simulator: A vision for the future of climate and weather prediction

TN Palmer - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
There is no more challenging problem in computational science than that of estimating, as
accurately as science and technology allows, the future evolution of Earth's climate; nor …

Stochastic parameterization: Toward a new view of weather and climate models

J Berner, U Achatz, L Batte… - Bulletin of the …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-
range, and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic …

Non‐linear dimensionality reduction with a variational encoder decoder to understand convective processes in climate models

G Behrens, T Beucler, P Gentine… - Journal of Advances …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Deep learning can accurately represent sub‐grid‐scale convective processes in climate
models, learning from high resolution simulations. However, deep learning methods usually …

Stochastic parametrizations and model uncertainty in the Lorenz'96 system

HM Arnold, IM Moroz… - … Transactions of the …, 2013 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Simple chaotic systems are useful tools for testing methods for use in numerical weather
simulations owing to their transparency and computational cheapness. The Lorenz system …

[HTML][HTML] Conditional Gaussian systems for multiscale nonlinear stochastic systems: Prediction, state estimation and uncertainty quantification

N Chen, AJ Majda - Entropy, 2018 - mdpi.com
A conditional Gaussian framework for understanding and predicting complex multiscale
nonlinear stochastic systems is developed. Despite the conditional Gaussianity, such …

Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe

C Prodhomme, F Doblas-Reyes, O Bellprat, E Dutra - Climate Dynamics, 2016 - Springer
Land surfaces and soil conditions are key sources of climate predictability at the seasonal
time scale. In order to estimate how the initialization of the land surface affects the …

A stochastic scale‐aware parameterization of shallow cumulus convection across the convective gray zone

M Sakradzija, A Seifert… - Journal of Advances in …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
The parameterization of shallow cumuli across a range of model grid resolutions of kilometre‐
scales faces at least three major difficulties:(1) closure assumptions of conventional …

The MJO in a coarse-resolution GCM with a stochastic multicloud parameterization

Q Deng, B Khouider, AJ Majda - Journal of the Atmospheric …, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
The representation of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is still a challenge for numerical
weather prediction and general circulation models (GCMs) because of the inadequate …

[HTML][HTML] Empirical values and assumptions in the convection schemes of numerical models

A Villalba-Pradas, FJ Tapiador - Geoscientific Model …, 2022 - gmd.copernicus.org
Convection influences climate and weather events over a wide range of spatial and
temporal scales. Therefore, accurate predictions of the time and location of convection and …