Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

The generation of large earthquakes

A Kato, Y Ben-Zion - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2021 - nature.com
Despite decades of observational, laboratory and theoretical studies, the processes leading
to large earthquake generation remain enigmatic. However, recent observations provide …

The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the aftershocks

L Gulia, AP Rinaldi, T Tormann… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
A systematic decay of the aftershock rate over time is one of the most fundamental empirical
laws in Earth science. However, the equally fundamental effect of a mainshock on the size …

Detailed Investigation of the Foreshock Sequence of the 2010 Mw7.2 El Mayor‐Cucapah Earthquake

D Yao, Y Huang, Z Peng… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Foreshocks can provide valuable information about possible nucleation process of a
mainshock. However, their physical mechanisms are still under debate. In this study, we …

Modeling and prediction of aftershock activity

S Baranov, C Narteau, P Shebalin - Surveys in Geophysics, 2022 - Springer
We provide an overview of the basic models of the aftershock processes and advanced
methods used to predict postseismic hazard. We consider both the physical mechanisms for …

Nucleation of laboratory earthquakes: Quantitative analysis and scalings

S Marty, A Schubnel, HS Bhat, J Aubry… - Journal of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In this study we use the precursory acoustic emission (AE) activity during the nucleation of
stick‐slip instability as a proxy to investigate foreshock occurrence prior to natural …

Global characteristics of observable foreshocks for large earthquakes

N Wetzler, T Lay, EE Brodsky - Seismological …, 2023 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Foreshocks are the only currently widely identified precursory seismic behavior, yet their
utility and even identifiability are problematic, in part because of extreme variation in …

Regional characteristics of observable foreshocks

N Wetzler, EE Brodsky, EJ Chaves… - … Society of America, 2023 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Measures of foreshock occurrence are systematically examined using earthquake catalogs
for eight regions (Italy, southern California, northern California, Costa Rica, Onshore Japan …

Foreshocks of the 2018  4.0 Shimian Earthquake in the Anninghe Fault and Its Implications for Earthquake Nucleation

T Feng, J Wu, L Fang, X Guo… - … Society of America, 2021 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Foreshock activity sometimes precedes large earthquakes, but how foreshocks relate to
mainshock nucleation is still unclear with limited case studies existing. One way to further …

Detection of hidden earthquakes after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake by automatic hypocenter determination combined with machine learning

K Tamaribuchi, S Kudo, K Shimojo, F Hirose - Earth, Planets and Space, 2023 - Springer
Abstract After the 2011 M w 9.0 Tohoku earthquake, seismicity became extremely active
throughout Japan. Despite enormous efforts to detect the large number of earthquakes …