[HTML][HTML] Post seismic catalog incompleteness and aftershock forecasting

E Lippiello, A Cirillo, C Godano, E Papadimitriou… - Geosciences, 2019 - mdpi.com
A growing interest appears among public authorities and society in accurate and nearly real
time aftershock forecasting to manage and mitigate post-seismic risk. Existing methods for …

b‐More‐Incomplete and b‐More‐Positive: Insights on a Robust Estimator of Magnitude Distribution

E Lippiello, G Petrillo - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The b‐value in earthquake magnitude‐frequency distribution quantifies the relative
frequency of large versus small earthquakes. Monitoring its evolution could provide …

Seismotectonic implications of the 2020 Samos, Greece, Mw 7.0 mainshock based on high-resolution aftershock relocation and source slip model

V Karakostas, O Tan, A Kostoglou, E Papadimitriou… - Acta Geophysica, 2021 - Springer
Abstract The 30 October 2020, M w 7.0 Samos mainshock took place in the offshore north of
Samos Island in eastern Aegean area, previously struck in 1904 with a comparable …

Incorporating foreshocks in an epidemic-like description of seismic occurrence in Italy

G Petrillo, E Lippiello - Applied Sciences, 2023 - mdpi.com
The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is a widely used tool for cluster
analysis and forecasting, owing to its ability to accurately predict aftershock occurrences …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasting strong subsequent earthquakes in Japan using an improved version of NESTORE Machine learning algorithm

S Gentili, GD Chiappetta, G Petrillo, P Brondi… - Geoscience …, 2025 - Elsevier
In this study, the advanced machine learning algorithm NESTORE (Next STrOng Related
Earthquake) was applied to the Japan Meteorological Agency catalog (1973–2024). It …

The seismogenic structure of March 2021 Tyrnavos (central Greece) doublet (Mw 6.3 and Mw 6.0), constrained by aftershock locations and geodetic data

E Papadimitriou, V Karakostas… - Geophysical Journal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
SUMMARY The Northern Thessaly Basin in central Greece ranks amongst the most well
pronounced extensional (graben) basins in the backarc Aegean Sea region, with well …

Earthquake magnitude and frequency forecasting in northeastern algeria using time series analysis

M Merdasse, M Hamdache, JA Peláez, J Henares… - Applied Sciences, 2023 - mdpi.com
This study uses two different time series forecasting approaches (parametric and non-
parametric) to assess a frequency and magnitude forecasting of earthquakes above Mw 4.0 …

Evaluation of the b Maps on the Faults of the Major (M > 7) South California Earthquakes

V Convertito, A Tramelli, C Godano - Earth and Space Science, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We use the Godano et al.(2022, https://doi. org/10.1029/2021ea002205) method for
evaluating the b maps of the faults associated with the largest earthquakes M≥ 7.0 that …

Improvements to seismicity forecasting based on a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model

H Ebrahimian, F Jalayer, B Maleki Asayesh, S Hainzl… - Scientific reports, 2022 - nature.com
The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model provides an effective tool for
predicting the spatio-temporal evolution of aftershock clustering in short-term. Based on this …

Bayesian earthquake forecasting approach based on the epidemic type aftershock sequence model

G Petrillo, J Zhuang - Earth, Planets and Space, 2024 - Springer
The epidemic type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is used as a baseline model both for
earthquake clustering and earthquake prediction. In most forecast experiments, the ETAS …