Uncertainty is an inherent part of knowledge, and yet in an era of contested expertise, many
shy away from openly communicating their uncertainty about what they know, fearful of their …

Perception of health risk can affect medical decisions and health behavior change. Yet the
concept of risk is a difficult one for the public to grasp. Whether perceptions of risk affect …

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses information relevant to
the understanding of climate change and explores options for adaptation and mitigation. The …

Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) uses verbal descriptions
of uncertainty (for example, Unlikely) to convey imprecision in its forecasts and conclusions …

Communicating probability information about risks to the public is more difficult than might
be expected. Many studies have examined this subject, so that their resulting …

In a series of studies, we examined novel predictions drawn from a conceptualization of
probability as psychological distance. Manipulating construal level in a number of different …

Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) publishes periodical
assessment reports informing policymakers and the public on issues relevant to the …

The authors argue that alternatives to the traditional numeric methods of measuring people's
uncertainty may prove to hold important advantages under some conditions. In 3 …

Social rules governing communication require the listener to go beyond the information
given in a message, contrary to the assumption that rational people should operate only on …

Much of decision aiding uses a divide-and-conquer strategy to help people with risky
decisions. Assessing the utility of outcomes and one's degree of belief in the likelihood are …