[HTML][HTML] Uncovering wind power forecasting uncertainty sources and their propagation through the whole modelling chain

J Yan, C Möhrlen, T Göçmen, M Kelly, A Wessel… - … and Sustainable Energy …, 2022 - Elsevier
Wind power forecasting has supported operational decision-making for power system and
electricity markets for 30 years. Efforts of improving the accuracy and/or certainty of …

The future of forecasting for renewable energy

C Sweeney, RJ Bessa, J Browell… - … Reviews: Energy and …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting for wind and solar renewable energy is becoming more important as the amount
of energy generated from these sources increases. Forecast skill is improving, but so too is …

Wind power generation: A review and a research agenda

SA Vargas, GRT Esteves, PM Maçaira… - Journal of Cleaner …, 2019 - Elsevier
The use of renewable energy resources, especially wind power, is receiving strong attention
from governments and private institutions, since it is considered one of the best and most …

An algorithm for forecasting day-ahead wind power via novel long short-term memory and wind power ramp events

Y Cui, Z Chen, Y He, X **ong, F Li - Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Reliable wind power and ramp event prediction is essential for the safe and stable operation
of electric power systems. Previous prediction methods struggled to forecast large …

Wind energy: Forecasting challenges for its operational management

P Pinson - 2013 - projecteuclid.org
Renewable energy sources, especially wind energy, are to play a larger role in providing
electricity to industrial and domestic consumers. This is already the case today for a number …

On computing the distribution function for the Poisson binomial distribution

Y Hong - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2013 - Elsevier
The Poisson binomial distribution is the distribution of the sum of independent and non-
identically distributed random indicators. Each indicator follows a Bernoulli distribution and …

Numerical weather prediction enhanced wind power forecasting: Rank ensemble and probabilistic fluctuation awareness

C Liu, X Zhang, S Mei, Z Zhen, M Jia, Z Li, H Tang - Applied Energy, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) is the key to precise wind power forecasting
(WPF), which can be enhanced by the NWP correction and scenario partition techniques …

Support-vector-machine-enhanced markov model for short-term wind power forecast

L Yang, M He, J Zhang, V Vittal - IEEE Transactions on …, 2015 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Wind ramps introduce significant uncertainty into wind power generation. Reliable system
operation, however, requires accurate detection and forecast of wind ramps, especially at …

Evaluating the quality of scenarios of short-term wind power generation

P Pinson, R Girard - Applied Energy, 2012 - Elsevier
Scenarios of short-term wind power generation are becoming increasingly popular as input
to multistage decision-making problems eg multivariate stochastic optimization and …

A review on the recent history of wind power ramp forecasting

C Gallego-Castillo, A Cuerva-Tejero… - … and Sustainable Energy …, 2015 - Elsevier
Forecasting large and fast variations of wind power (the so-called ramps) helps achieve the
integration of large amounts of wind energy. This paper presents a survey on wind power …