Bayesian statistics and modelling

R Van de Schoot, S Depaoli, R King… - Nature Reviews …, 2021 - nature.com
Bayesian statistics is an approach to data analysis based on Bayes' theorem, where
available knowledge about parameters in a statistical model is updated with the information …

Shrinkage priors for Bayesian penalized regression

S Van Erp, DL Oberski, J Mulder - Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 2019 - Elsevier
In linear regression problems with many predictors, penalized regression techniques are
often used to guard against overfitting and to select variables relevant for predicting an …

Refining the transit-timing and photometric analysis of TRAPPIST-1: masses, radii, densities, dynamics, and ephemerides

E Agol, C Dorn, SL Grimm, M Turbet… - The planetary …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
We have collected transit times for the TRAPPIST-1 system with the Spitzer Space
Telescope over four years. We add to these ground-based, HST, and K2 transit-time …

Imbalance of global nutrient cycles exacerbated by the greater retention of phosphorus over nitrogen in lakes

Z Wu, J Li, Y Sun, J Peñuelas, J Huang, J Sardans… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Imbalanced anthropogenic inputs of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) have significantly
increased the ratio between N and P globally, degrading ecosystem productivity and …

A guide to state–space modeling of ecological time series

M Auger‐Méthé, K Newman, D Cole… - Ecological …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
State–space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological
time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics …

Human disturbance increases trophic niche overlap in terrestrial carnivore communities

PJ Manlick, JN Pauli - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2020 - pnas.org
Animal foraging and competition are defined by the partitioning of three primary niche axes:
space, time, and resources. Human disturbance is rapidly altering the spatial and temporal …

Overcoming equifinality: Leveraging long time series for stream metabolism estimation

AP Appling, RO Hall Jr, CB Yackulic… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
The foundational ecosystem processes of gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem
respiration (ER) cannot be measured directly but can be modeled in aquatic ecosystems …

Copula-based reliability analysis of degrading systems with dependent failures

G Fang, R Pan, Y Hong - Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2020 - Elsevier
Consider a coherent system, in which the degradation processes of its performance
characteristics are positively correlated, this paper systematically investigates a bivariate …

Migratory strategy drives species-level variation in bird sensitivity to vegetation green-up

C Youngflesh, J Socolar, BR Amaral, A Arab… - Nature Ecology & …, 2021 - nature.com
Animals and plants are shifting the timing of key life events in response to climate change,
yet despite recent documentation of escalating phenological change, scientists lack a full …