Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …

Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

High-entropy alloys (HEAs) have been receiving intensive attention due to their unusual
properties that largely depend on the selection among three phases: solid solution (SS) …

A large array of species distribution model (SDM) approaches has been developed for
explaining and predicting the occurrences of individual species or species assemblages …

Two foundational questions about sustainability are “How are ecosystems and the services
they provide going to change in the future?” and “How do human decisions affect these …

Habitat selection is a fundamental animal behavior that shapes a wide range of ecological
processes, including animal movement, nutrient transfer, trophic dynamics and population …

Ecological disturbance is fundamental to the dynamics of biological communities, yet a
conceptual framework for understanding the responses of faunal communities to …

Coincident with recent global warming, species have shifted their geographic distributions to
cooler environments, generally by moving along thermal axes to higher latitudes, higher …

We examine the evidence linking species' traits to contemporary range shifts and find they
are poor predictors of range shifts that have occurred over decades to a century. We then …

Ecological forecasting provides a powerful set of methods for predicting short‐and long‐term
change in living systems. Forecasts are now widely produced, enabling proactive …