Machine learning for data-centric epidemic forecasting

A Rodríguez, H Kamarthi, P Agarwal, J Ho… - Nature Machine …, 2024 - nature.com
The COVID-19 pandemic emphasized the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision
makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy. Forecasting …

End-to-end stochastic optimization with energy-based model

L Kong, J Cui, Y Zhuang, R Feng… - Advances in …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Decision-focused learning (DFL) was recently proposed for stochastic optimization problems
that involve unknown parameters. By integrating predictive modeling with an implicitly …

Data-centric epidemic forecasting: A survey

A Rodríguez, H Kamarthi, P Agarwal, J Ho… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2022 - arxiv.org
The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for
decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole …

Einns: epidemiologically-informed neural networks

A Rodríguez, J Cui, N Ramakrishnan… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
We introduce EINNs, a framework crafted for epidemic forecasting that builds upon the
theoretical grounds provided by mechanistic models as well as the data-driven expressibility …

Deep bayesian unsupervised lifelong learning

T Zhao, Z Wang, A Masoomi, J Dy - Neural Networks, 2022 - Elsevier
Lifelong Learning (LL) refers to the ability to continually learn and solve new problems with
incremental available information over time while retaining previous knowledge. Much …

Muben: Benchmarking the uncertainty of molecular representation models

Y Li, L Kong, Y Du, Y Yu, Y Zhuang, W Mu… - … on Machine Learning …, 2023 - openreview.net
Large molecular representation models pre-trained on massive unlabeled data have shown
great success in predicting molecular properties. However, these models may tend to overfit …

Uncertainty quantification in deep learning

L Kong, H Kamarthi, P Chen, BA Prakash… - Proceedings of the 29th …, 2023 - dl.acm.org
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved enormous success in a wide range of
domains, such as computer vision, natural language processing and scientific areas …

Uncertainty estimation for time series forecasting via Gaussian process regression surrogates

L Erlygin, V Zholobov, V Baklanova… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Machine learning models are widely used to solve real-world problems in science and
industry. To build robust models, we should quantify the uncertainty of the model's …

CAMul: Calibrated and Accurate Multi-view Time-Series Forecasting

H Kamarthi, L Kong, A Rodríguez, C Zhang… - Proceedings of the …, 2022 - dl.acm.org
Probabilistic time-series forecasting enables reliable decision making across many
domains. Most forecasting problems have diverse sources of data containing multiple …

Dual-grained directional representation for infectious disease case prediction

P Zhang, Z Wang, Y Huang, M Wang - Knowledge-Based Systems, 2022 - Elsevier
The uncertain infection transmission causes challenges in accurate disease prediction.
Numerous methods have been proposed to capture the temporal pictures from past …