We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …

There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …

Adaptation has emerged as an important area of research and assessment among climate
change scientists. Most scholarly work has identified resource constraints as being the most …

The areas beneath the relative (or receiver) operating characteristics (ROC) and relative
operating levels (ROL) curves can be used as summary measures of forecast quality, but …

A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been
developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European …

The overall skill of ENSO prediction in retrospective forecasts made with ten different
coupled GCMs is investigated. The coupled GCM datasets of the APCC/CliPAS and …

Rayner, NA, DE Parker, EB Horton, CK Folland, LV Alexander, DP Rowell, EC Kent, and A.
Kaplan, 2003: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air …

Extreme phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon have been
blamed for precipitation anomalies in many areas of the world. In some areas the probability …

Originally published in 2005, Weather Derivative Valuation covers all the meteorological,
statistical, financial and mathematical issues that arise in the pricing and risk management of …

The relative contributions of the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures
(SSTs) to the rainfall variability over eastern central, and southern Africa during the austral …