Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
The teleconnection of El Niño Southern Oscillation to the stratosphere
El Niño and La Niña events in the tropical Pacific have significant and disrupting impacts on
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply
Quantifying signals and uncertainties in climate models is essential for the detection,
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
attribution, prediction and projection of climate change,–. Although inter-model agreement is …
A higher‐resolution version of the max planck institute earth system model (MPI‐ESM1. 2‐HR)
Abstract The MPI‐ESM1. 2 is the latest version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System
Model and is the baseline for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and …
Model and is the baseline for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and …
Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives
Extreme events such as heat waves and cold spells, droughts, heavy rain, and storms are
particularly challenging to predict accurately due to their rarity and chaotic nature, and …
particularly challenging to predict accurately due to their rarity and chaotic nature, and …
Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …
The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 2. Predictability arising from stratosphere‐troposphere coupling
The stratosphere can have a significant impact on winter surface weather on subseasonal to
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
seasonal (S2S) timescales. This study evaluates the ability of current operational S2S …
[HTML][HTML] Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe
Alexander, LV, M. Bador, R. Roca, S. Contractor, MG Donat, and PL Nguyen, 2020:
Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in …
Intercomparison of annual precipitation indices and extremes over global land areas from in …
Network-based forecasting of climate phenomena
Network theory, as emerging from complex systems science, can provide critical predictive
power for mitigating the global warming crisis and other societal challenges. Here we …
power for mitigating the global warming crisis and other societal challenges. Here we …
[HTML][HTML] Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction
WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Alessandri, A., F. Catalano, M. De Felice, B. Van Den Hurk, F. Doblas Reyes, S. Boussetta,
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …
G. Balsamo, and PA Miller, 2017: Multi-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land …