Key message Wildfire danger and burnt areas should increase over the century in southern
Europe, owing to climate warming. Fire-prone area expansion to the north and to …

Key message Adaptation of forest management to climate change requires an
understanding of the effects of climate on forests, industries and communities; prediction of …

While there is a clear demand for scenarios that provide alternative states in biodiversity with
respect to future emissions, a thorough analysis and communication of the associated …

Abstract Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) techniques were originally developed in the
mid-1980s. In this century they are gaining increasing attention in the literature and in …

A variety of tools have emerged with the goal of map** the current delivery of ecosystem
services and quantifying the impact of environmental changes. An important and often …

Choice of variables, climate models and emissions scenarios all influence the results of
species distribution models under future climatic conditions. However, an overview of …

Climate change is a well-documented driver of both wildlife extinction and disease
emergence, but the negative impacts of climate change on parasite diversity are …

In a rapidly changing world, ecology has the potential to move from empirical and
conceptual stages to application and management issues. It is now possible to make large …

Globally, ecosystems and their constituent flora and fauna face the localized and broad-
scale influence of human activities. Conservation practitioners and environmental managers …

Increasing temperatures and drought risks through climate change are expected to have
several consequences for European forests. Adaptive strategies may include:(i) persistence …