Theory and practice of GVAR modelling
Abstract The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …
Model averaging and its use in economics
MFJ Steel - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
The method of model averaging has become an important tool to deal with model
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
Uncovering the heterogeneous effects of ECB unconventional monetary policies across euro area countries
We assess the effects of recent ECB's unconventional monetary policy (UMP) measures by
estimating a global VAR that exploits panel variation amongst all euro area economies and …
estimating a global VAR that exploits panel variation amongst all euro area economies and …
The global transmission of us monetary policy
This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across the globe by employing a
high-frequency identification of policy shocks and large VAR techniques, in conjunction with …
high-frequency identification of policy shocks and large VAR techniques, in conjunction with …
Are higher US interest rates always bad news for emerging markets?
J Hoek, S Kamin, E Yoldas - Journal of International Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Increases in US interest rates are often thought to generate adverse spillovers to emerging
market economies (EMEs). We show that whether US rate hikes are bad news for EMEs …
market economies (EMEs). We show that whether US rate hikes are bad news for EMEs …
Spillover effects from Euro area monetary policy across Europe: A factor-augmented VAR approach
G Potjagailo - Journal of International Money and Finance, 2017 - Elsevier
I analyze spillover effects from a Euro area monetary policy shock to fourteen European
countries outside the Euro area. The analysis is based on a factor-augmented VAR model …
countries outside the Euro area. The analysis is based on a factor-augmented VAR model …
Global trade flows and economic policy uncertainty
PS Tam - Applied Economics, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
This article investigates the impacts of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on global trade
flows in gauging international trade developments. We employ a global vector …
flows in gauging international trade developments. We employ a global vector …
Forecasting with global vector autoregressive models: A Bayesian approach
This paper develops a Bayesian variant of global vector autoregressive (B‐GVAR) models to
forecast an international set of macroeconomic and financial variables. We propose a set of …
forecast an international set of macroeconomic and financial variables. We propose a set of …
On corporate borrowing, credit spreads and economic activity in emerging economies: An empirical investigation
We document a considerable increase in foreign financing by the corporate sector in
emerging economies (EMEs) since the early 2000s, mainly in the form of bond issuance …
emerging economies (EMEs) since the early 2000s, mainly in the form of bond issuance …
The Global Financial Cycle and US monetary policy in an interconnected world
We assess the international spillovers of US monetary policy with a large-scale global VAR
which models the world economy as a network of interdependent countries. An …
which models the world economy as a network of interdependent countries. An …