Non-linear physiological responses to climate change: the case of Ceratitis capitata distribution and abundance in Europe

G Gilioli, G Sperandio, M Colturato, S Pasquali… - Biological …, 2022 - Springer
Understanding how climate change might influence the distribution and abundance of crop
pests is fundamental for the development and the implementation of pest management …

[HTML][HTML] Towards pest outbreak predictions: Are models supported by field monitoring the new hope?

NB Rosselló, L Rossini, S Speranza, E Garone - Ecological Informatics, 2023 - Elsevier
Physiologically-based models are the core of Decision Support Systems (DSS) for insect
pest and disease control in cultivated fields. However, the large-scale use of DSS remains …

Development and calibration of a model for the potential establishment and impact of Aedes albopictus in Europe

S Pasquali, L Mariani, M Calvitti, R Moretti, L Ponti… - Acta tropica, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract The Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) is one of the most invasive disease
vectors worldwide. The species is a competent vector of dengue, chikungunya, Zika viruses …

Comparison of New Kairomone-Based Lures for Cydia pomonella (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) in Italy and USA

M Preti, AL Knight, R Favaro, E Basoalto, M Tasin… - Insects, 2021 - mdpi.com
Simple Summary Adult codling moth (Cydia pomonella L.) monitoring with lure-baited traps
is a prerequisite to effectively manage this key pest in apple and pear crops without over …

A general ODE-based model to describe the physiological age structure of ectotherms: Description and application to Drosophila suzukii

L Rossini, NB Rosselló, S Speranza, E Garone - Ecological Modelling, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper introduces a novel general model based on Ordinary Differential Equations
(ODEs) which is able to describe the population dynamics of a large class of insect pests …

Modelling diapause termination and phenology of the Japanese beetle, Popillia japonica

G Gilioli, G Sperandio, A Simonetto, M Colturato… - Journal of Pest …, 2022 - Springer
We deve loped a mechanistic, stage-structured model simulating the phenology of Popillia
japonica. The model simulates the influence of soil temperature on the larval diapause …

Coexistence in seasonally varying predator–prey systems with Allee effect

C Rebelo, C Soresina - Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 2020 - Elsevier
A general seasonally-varying predator–prey model with Allee effect in the prey growth is
investigated. The analysis is performed only on the basis of some properties determining the …

A model for predicting the phenology of Philaenus spumarius

G Gilioli, A Simonetto, ID Weber, P Gervasio… - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
The design and implementation of Philaenus spumarius control strategies can take
advantage of properly calibrated models describing and predicting the phenology of vector …

An empirical model for predicting insects' diapause termination and phenology: An application to Cydia pomonella

G Sperandio, S Pasquali, G Pradolesi… - Journal of Applied …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Diapause is a vital survival strategy for insects, enabling them to conserve energy and
endure adverse conditions. Understanding how diapause affects insect phenology and …

Reformulation of the Distributed Delay Model to describe insect pest populations using count variables

L Rossini, M Contarini, M Severini, S Speranza - Ecological Modelling, 2020 - Elsevier
Among the models used to describe insect pest populations, the Distributed Delay Model
has been applied in several case studies in recent years. Its success is due mainly to its …