[HTML][HTML] Explainable AI for operational research: A defining framework, methods, applications, and a research agenda
The ability to understand and explain the outcomes of data analysis methods, with regard to
aiding decision-making, has become a critical requirement for many applications. For …
aiding decision-making, has become a critical requirement for many applications. For …
[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
[HTML][HTML] Forecast reconciliation: A review
Collections of time series formed via aggregation are prevalent in many fields. These are
commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally …
commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally …
What do consumers want? A methodological framework to identify determinant product attributes from consumers' online questions
Determinant attributes play an important role in consumers' purchase decisions. Firms rely
on them to differentiate their products. Determinant attributes are typically identified using …
on them to differentiate their products. Determinant attributes are typically identified using …
Understanding forecast reconciliation
R Hollyman, F Petropoulos, ME Tip** - European Journal of Operational …, 2021 - Elsevier
A series of recent papers introduce the concept of Forecast Reconciliation, a process by
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
Demand forecasting in supply chains: a review of aggregation and hierarchical approaches
Demand forecasts are the basis of most decisions in supply chain management. The
granularity of these decisions lead to different forecast requirements. For example, inventory …
granularity of these decisions lead to different forecast requirements. For example, inventory …
Probabilistic forecast reconciliation: Properties, evaluation and score optimisation
A Panagiotelis, P Gamakumara… - European Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
We develop a framework for forecasting multivariate data that follow known linear
constraints. This is particularly common in forecasting where some variables are aggregates …
constraints. This is particularly common in forecasting where some variables are aggregates …
Elucidate structure in intermittent demand series
Intermittent demand forecasting has been widely researched in the context of spare parts
management. However, it is becoming increasingly relevant to many other areas, such as …
management. However, it is becoming increasingly relevant to many other areas, such as …
Forecast combination-based forecast reconciliation: Insights and extensions
In this paper, we build upon a recently proposed forecast combination-based approach to
the reconciliation of a simple hierarchy (Hollyman R., Petropoulos F., Tip** ME …
the reconciliation of a simple hierarchy (Hollyman R., Petropoulos F., Tip** ME …
Do we want coherent hierarchical forecasts, or minimal MAPEs or MAEs?(We won't get both!)
S Kolassa - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
Do we want coherent hierarchical forecasts, or minimal MAPEs or MAEs? (We won’t get both!)
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- ScienceDirect Skip to main contentSkip to article Elsevier logo Journals & Books Search …