Hazard assessment and monitoring of Ecuadorian volcanoes: challenges and progresses during four decades since IG-EPN foundation

S Hidalgo, B Bernard, P Mothes, C Ramos… - Bulletin of …, 2023 - Springer
Abstract The Instituto Geofísico (IG-EPN) was created in 1983 by faculty of the Escuela
Politécnica Nacional, a public university in Quito, Ecuador, with the objective of assessing …

Numerical simulation of long-distance debris flows (lahars) on glacier-clad volcanoes: the case of Cotopaxi, Ecuador

FJ Vasconez, J Phillips, MJ Woodhouse… - Frontiers in Earth …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
Volcanic debris flows (lahars) are highly destructive volcanic phenomena and present
significant challenges in numerical simulation. This manuscript tackles the three …

Develo** hazard scenarios from monitoring data, historical chronicles, and expert elicitation: a case study of Sangay volcano, Ecuador

B Bernard, A Tadini, P Samaniego, A Bevilacqua… - Bulletin of …, 2024 - Springer
Sangay volcano is considered as one of the most active volcanoes worldwide. Nevertheless,
due to its remote location and low-impact eruptions, its eruptive history and hazard …

Conduit processes in crystal-rich dacitic magma and implications for eruptive cycles at Guagua Pichincha volcano, Ecuador

M Colombier, B Bernard, H Wright, JL Le Pennec… - Bulletin of …, 2022 - Springer
Stratovolcanoes are commonly characterised by cyclic eruptive activity marked by transitions
between dome-forming, Vulcanian, Subplinian and Plinian eruptions. Guagua Pichincha …

Tephra fallout probabilistic hazard maps for Cotopaxi and Guagua Pichincha volcanoes (Ecuador) with uncertainty quantification

A Tadini, N Azzaoui, O Roche… - Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Tephra fallout hazard assessment is undertaken with probabilistic maps that rely on
numerical models. Regarding maps production, the input parameters of the model (including …

Scenario-based probabilistic hazard assessment for explosive events at the San Salvador Volcanic complex, El Salvador

A Aravena, A Bevilacqua, A Neri, P Gabellini… - Journal of Volcanology …, 2023 - Elsevier
We present a scenario-based, probabilistic hazard assessment for the San Salvador
volcanic complex (SSVC), a volcanic field located in the vicinity of San Salvador that …

[HTML][HTML] ELICIPY 1.0: a Python online tool for expert elicitation

MM Vitturi, A Bevilacqua, A Tadini, A Neri - SoftwareX, 2024 - Elsevier
Structured expert judgment is crucial when dealing with significant epistemic and aleatoric
uncertainties, particularly in probabilistic hazard assessments, where decisions based on …

Assessing minimum pyroclastic density current mass to impact critical infrastructures: example from Aso caldera (Japan)

A Bevilacqua, A Aravena, W Aspinall… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2022 - nhess.copernicus.org
We describe a method for calculating the probability that a distal geographic location is
impacted by a pyroclastic density current (PDC) of a given size, considering the key related …

Probabilistic tephra fallout hazard maps for Sangay volcano, Ecuador

A Tadini, F Pardini, A Bevilacqua, B Bernard… - Bulletin of …, 2025 - Springer
Sangay volcano (Ecuador) shows a quasi-continuous activity at least since the seventeenth
century and has produced several eruptions which affected towns and cities at considerable …

Probabilistic hazard analyses for a small island: methods for quantifying tephra fall hazard and appraising possible impacts on Ascension Island

S Osman, J Crummy, M Thomas, S Carver - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2024 - Springer
Proximal to the source, tephra fall can cause severe disruption, and populations of small
volcanically active islands can be particularly susceptible. Volcanic hazard assessments …