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Hazard assessment and monitoring of Ecuadorian volcanoes: challenges and progresses during four decades since IG-EPN foundation
Abstract The Instituto Geofísico (IG-EPN) was created in 1983 by faculty of the Escuela
Politécnica Nacional, a public university in Quito, Ecuador, with the objective of assessing …
Politécnica Nacional, a public university in Quito, Ecuador, with the objective of assessing …
Numerical simulation of long-distance debris flows (lahars) on glacier-clad volcanoes: the case of Cotopaxi, Ecuador
Volcanic debris flows (lahars) are highly destructive volcanic phenomena and present
significant challenges in numerical simulation. This manuscript tackles the three …
significant challenges in numerical simulation. This manuscript tackles the three …
Develo** hazard scenarios from monitoring data, historical chronicles, and expert elicitation: a case study of Sangay volcano, Ecuador
Sangay volcano is considered as one of the most active volcanoes worldwide. Nevertheless,
due to its remote location and low-impact eruptions, its eruptive history and hazard …
due to its remote location and low-impact eruptions, its eruptive history and hazard …
Conduit processes in crystal-rich dacitic magma and implications for eruptive cycles at Guagua Pichincha volcano, Ecuador
Stratovolcanoes are commonly characterised by cyclic eruptive activity marked by transitions
between dome-forming, Vulcanian, Subplinian and Plinian eruptions. Guagua Pichincha …
between dome-forming, Vulcanian, Subplinian and Plinian eruptions. Guagua Pichincha …
Tephra fallout probabilistic hazard maps for Cotopaxi and Guagua Pichincha volcanoes (Ecuador) with uncertainty quantification
Tephra fallout hazard assessment is undertaken with probabilistic maps that rely on
numerical models. Regarding maps production, the input parameters of the model (including …
numerical models. Regarding maps production, the input parameters of the model (including …
Scenario-based probabilistic hazard assessment for explosive events at the San Salvador Volcanic complex, El Salvador
We present a scenario-based, probabilistic hazard assessment for the San Salvador
volcanic complex (SSVC), a volcanic field located in the vicinity of San Salvador that …
volcanic complex (SSVC), a volcanic field located in the vicinity of San Salvador that …
[HTML][HTML] ELICIPY 1.0: a Python online tool for expert elicitation
Structured expert judgment is crucial when dealing with significant epistemic and aleatoric
uncertainties, particularly in probabilistic hazard assessments, where decisions based on …
uncertainties, particularly in probabilistic hazard assessments, where decisions based on …
Assessing minimum pyroclastic density current mass to impact critical infrastructures: example from Aso caldera (Japan)
We describe a method for calculating the probability that a distal geographic location is
impacted by a pyroclastic density current (PDC) of a given size, considering the key related …
impacted by a pyroclastic density current (PDC) of a given size, considering the key related …
Probabilistic tephra fallout hazard maps for Sangay volcano, Ecuador
Sangay volcano (Ecuador) shows a quasi-continuous activity at least since the seventeenth
century and has produced several eruptions which affected towns and cities at considerable …
century and has produced several eruptions which affected towns and cities at considerable …
Probabilistic hazard analyses for a small island: methods for quantifying tephra fall hazard and appraising possible impacts on Ascension Island
S Osman, J Crummy, M Thomas, S Carver - Bulletin of Volcanology, 2024 - Springer
Proximal to the source, tephra fall can cause severe disruption, and populations of small
volcanically active islands can be particularly susceptible. Volcanic hazard assessments …
volcanically active islands can be particularly susceptible. Volcanic hazard assessments …