[HTML][HTML] The future of sensitivity analysis: an essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support

S Razavi, A Jakeman, A Saltelli, C Prieur… - … Modelling & Software, 2021 - Elsevier
Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling.
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …

Monte Carlo methods for value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk: a review

LJ Hong, Z Hu, G Liu - ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer …, 2014 - dl.acm.org
Value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) are two widely used risk measures
of large losses and are employed in the financial industry for risk management purposes. In …

Efficient risk-averse reinforcement learning

I Greenberg, Y Chow… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
In risk-averse reinforcement learning (RL), the goal is to optimize some risk measure of the
returns. A risk measure often focuses on the worst returns out of the agent's experience. As a …

[PDF][PDF] Policy gradients beyond expectations: Conditional value-at-risk

A Tamar, Y Glassner, S Mannor - 2015 - Citeseer
Abstract Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used
extensively in various domains such as finance. In this work we present a new formula for …

Optimizing the CVaR via sampling

A Tamar, Y Glassner, S Mannor - … of the AAAI Conference on Artificial …, 2015 - ojs.aaai.org
Abstract Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) is a prominent risk measure that is being used
extensively in various domains. We develop a new formula for the gradient of the CVaR in …

Bayesian optimization of risk measures

S Cakmak, R Astudillo Marban… - Advances in Neural …, 2020 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We consider Bayesian optimization of objective functions of the form $\rho [F (x, W)] $, where
$ F $ is a black-box expensive-to-evaluate function and $\rho $ denotes either the VaR or …

Stochastic optimization forests

N Kallus, X Mao - Management Science, 2023 - pubsonline.informs.org
We study contextual stochastic optimization problems, where we leverage rich auxiliary
observations (eg, product characteristics) to improve decision making with uncertain …

Sequential convex approximations to joint chance constrained programs: A Monte Carlo approach

LJ Hong, Y Yang, L Zhang - Operations Research, 2011 - pubsonline.informs.org
When there is parameter uncertainty in the constraints of a convex optimization problem, it is
natural to formulate the problem as a joint chance constrained program (JCCP), which …

Blackbox Simulation Optimization

H Cao, JQ Hu, T Lian - Journal of the Operations Research Society of …, 2024 - Springer
Simulation optimization is a widely used tool in the analysis and optimization of complex
stochastic systems. The majority of the previous works on simulation optimization rely …

[HTML][HTML] A CVaR-constrained optimal power flow model for wind integrated power systems considering Transmission-side flexibility

L You, H Ma, TK Saha - International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy …, 2023 - Elsevier
The integration of renewable power can pose uncertainty to power system operation,
causing operational risk like power imbalance or line congestion. To improve the …