Charles Richter's observation that'only fools and charlatans predict earthquakes,'reflects the
fact that despite more than 100 years of effort, seismologists remain unable to do so with …

Since 1945, there have been relatively few large interstate wars, especially compared to the
preceding 30 years, which included both World Wars. This pattern, sometimes called the …

Timely and adequate supply of vaccines in disastrous situations has a key role in controlling
communicable diseases. This paper develops a specific option contract for proactively …

According to the current seismic codes, structures are designed to resist the first damaging
earthquake during their service life. However, after a strong main shock, a structure may still …

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the statistical distributions of recurrence times of
earthquakes. Recurrence times are the time intervals between successive earthquakes at a …

Earthquakes on a specified fault (or fault segment) with magnitudes greater than a specified
value have a statistical distribution of recurrence times. The mean recurrence time can be …

There are two fundamentally different approaches to assessing the probabilistic risk of
earthquake occurrence. The first is fault based. The statistical occurrence of earthquakes is …

The sparse data of catastrophic pipeline accidents implies large fluctuations in the empirical
distribution's upper tail, which makes it hard to estimate the true probability. To address this …

We discuss the long-standing question of whether the probability for large earthquake
occurrence (magnitudes m> 6.0) is highest during time periods of smaller event activation, or …

ABSTRACT A physics‐based earthquake simulation algorithm for modeling the long‐term
spatiotemporal process of strong (M≥ 6.0) earthquakes in Corinth Gulf area, Greece, is …