Seismicity-based earthquake forecasting techniques: Ten years of progress

KF Tiampo, R Shcherbakov - Tectonophysics, 2012 - Elsevier
Earthquake fault systems interact over a broad spectrum of spatial and temporal scales and,
in recent years, studies of the regional seismicity in a variety of regions have produced a …

Analyzing earthquake clustering features by using stochastic reconstruction

J Zhuang, Y Ogata… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
On the basis of the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model and the thinning
procedure, this paper gives the method about how to classify the earthquakes in a given …

Space–time ETAS models and an improved extension

Y Ogata, J Zhuang - Tectonophysics, 2006 - Elsevier
For sensitive detection of anomalous seismicity such as quiescence and activation in a
given region, we need a suitable statistical reference model that represents a normal …

Short-term properties of earthquake catalogs and models of earthquake source

YY Kagan - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2004 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
I review the short-term properties of earthquake catalogs, in particular the time and size
distributions and the completeness of the early part of aftershock sequences for strong …

Subcritical and supercritical regimes in epidemic models of earthquake aftershocks

A Helmstetter, D Sornette - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
We present an analytical solution and numerical tests of the epidemic‐type aftershock
(ETAS) model for aftershocks, which describes foreshocks, aftershocks, and main shocks on …

A common origin for aftershocks, foreshocks, and multiplets

KR Felzer, RE Abercrombie… - Bulletin of the …, 2004 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We demonstrate that the statistics of earthquake data in the global Centroid Moment Tensor
(CMT) and National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) catalogs and local California …

Triggering of the 1999 MW 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake by aftershocks of the 1992 MW 7.3 Landers earthquake

KR Felzer, TW Becker, RE Abercrombie… - Journal of …, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
There is strong observational evidence that the 1999 MW 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake in the
Mojave Desert, California, was triggered by the nearby 1992 MW 7.3 Landers earthquake …

Foreshocks explained by cascades of triggered seismicity

A Helmstetter, D Sornette - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that
foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other …

Is earthquake triggering driven by small earthquakes?

A Helmstetter - Physical review letters, 2003 - APS
Using a catalog of seismicity for Southern California, we measure how the number of
triggered earthquakes increases with the earthquake magnitude. The trade-off between this …

Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omori's law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models

A Helmstetter, D Sornette - Physical Review E, 2002 - APS
The epidemic-type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model is a simple stochastic process
modeling seismicity, based on the two best-established empirical laws, the Omori law …