Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models
BACKGROUND Earth system models (ESMs) simulate physical, chemical, and biological
processes that underlie climate and are the most complex in a hierarchy of models of Earth's …
processes that underlie climate and are the most complex in a hierarchy of models of Earth's …
Changing state of the climate system
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
A unifying framework for studying and managing climate-driven rates of ecological change
During the Anthropocene and other eras of rapidly changing climates, rates of change of
ecological systems can be described as fast, slow or abrupt. Fast ecological responses …
ecological systems can be described as fast, slow or abrupt. Fast ecological responses …
The effects of defaunation on plants' capacity to track climate change
Half of all plant species rely on animals to disperse their seeds. Seed dispersal interactions
lost through defaunation and gained during novel community assembly influence whether …
lost through defaunation and gained during novel community assembly influence whether …
Terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and their services
Chapter 2, building on prior assessments, provides a global assessment of the observed
impacts and projected risks of climate change to terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems …
impacts and projected risks of climate change to terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems …
Adapt to more wildfire in western North American forests as climate changes
Wildfires across western North America have increased in number and size over the past
three decades, and this trend will continue in response to further warming. As a …
three decades, and this trend will continue in response to further warming. As a …
Pliocene and Eocene provide best analogs for near-future climates
As the world warms due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations, the Earth system moves
toward climate states without societal precedent, challenging adaptation. Past Earth system …
toward climate states without societal precedent, challenging adaptation. Past Earth system …
Navigating ecological transformation: Resist–accept–direct as a path to a new resource management paradigm
Natural resource managers worldwide face a growing challenge: Intensifying global change
increasingly propels ecosystems toward irreversible ecological transformations. This …
increasingly propels ecosystems toward irreversible ecological transformations. This …
Modeling the ecology and evolution of biodiversity: Biogeographical cradles, museums, and graves
INTRODUCTION Individual processes that shape geographical patterns of biodiversity are
increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales …
increasingly understood, but their complex interactions on broad spatial and temporal scales …
Temperature-related biodiversity change across temperate marine and terrestrial systems
Climate change is resha** global biodiversity as species respond to changing
temperatures. However, the net effects of climate-driven species redistribution on local …
temperatures. However, the net effects of climate-driven species redistribution on local …