Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change

ML DeMarche, DF Doak, WF Morris - Global Change Biology, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Populations of many species are genetically adapted to local historical climate conditions.
Yet most forecasts of species' distributions under climate change have ignored local …

The physiology of climate change: how potentials for acclimatization and genetic adaptation will determine 'winners' and 'losers'

GN Somero - Journal of Experimental Biology, 2010 - journals.biologists.com
Physiological studies can help predict effects of climate change through determining which
species currently live closest to their upper thermal tolerance limits, which physiological …

NicheMapR–an R package for biophysical modelling: the microclimate model

MR Kearney, WP Porter - Ecography, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Microclimatic variables are necessary for a wide range of pure and applied problems in
environmental science. In ecology, microclimatic conditions are prerequisites for modelling …

Mechanistic niche modelling: combining physiological and spatial data to predict species' ranges

M Kearney, W Porter - Ecology letters, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) use spatial environmental data to make inferences on
species' range limits and habitat suitability. Conceptually, these models aim to determine …

There is plenty of room at the bottom: microclimates drive insect vulnerability to climate change

S Pincebourde, HA Woods - Current Opinion in Insect Science, 2020 - Elsevier
Highlights•We provide a simple method to determine the microscale pertinent to small
insects.•Fine-scale microclimates can differ from local microclimates that are widely …

The potential for behavioral thermoregulation to buffer “cold-blooded” animals against climate warming

M Kearney, R Shine, WP Porter - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2009 - pnas.org
Increasing concern about the impacts of global warming on biodiversity has stimulated
extensive discussion, but methods to translate broad-scale shifts in climate into direct …

Do species' traits predict recent shifts at expanding range edges?

AL Angert, LG Crozier, LJ Rissler, SE Gilman… - Ecology …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
Ecology Letters (2011) 14: 677–689 Abstract Although some organisms have moved to
higher elevations and latitudes in response to recent climate change, there is little …

A review of the likely effects of climate change on anadromous Atlantic salmon Salmo salar and brown trout Salmo trutta, with particular reference to water …

B Jonsson, N Jonsson - Journal of fish biology, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
The present paper reviews the effects of water temperature and flow on migrations,
embryonic development, hatching, emergence, growth and life‐history traits in light of the …

Putting the heat on tropical animals

JJ Tewksbury, RB Huey, CA Deutsch - Science, 2008 - science.org
Survival in a warmer climate. Data from diverse terrestrial ectotherms suggest that tropical
species living in stable aseasonal climates, such as the Amazonian lizard Enyalioides …