Multiscale change point inference

K Frick, A Munk, H Sieling - … the Royal Statistical Society Series B …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
We introduce a new estimator, the simultaneous multiscale change point estimator SMUCE,
for the change point problem in exponential family regression. An unknown step function is …

Frequentist model averaging for threshold models

Y Gao, X Zhang, S Wang, TT Chong, G Zou - Annals of the Institute of …, 2019 - Springer
This paper develops a frequentist model averaging approach for threshold model
specifications. The resulting estimator is proved to be asymptotically optimal in the sense of …

High-dimensional predictive regression in the presence of cointegration

B Koo, HM Anderson, MH Seo, W Yao - Journal of Econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract We propose a Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) estimator
of a predictive regression in which stock returns are conditioned on a large set of lagged …

Local M-estimation with discontinuous criterion for dependent and limited observations

MH Seo, T Otsu - The Annals of Statistics, 2018 - JSTOR
We examine the asymptotic properties of local M-estimators under three sets of high-level
conditions. These conditions are sufficiently general to cover the minimum volume predictive …

Using structural break inference for forecasting time series

G Altansukh, DR Osborn - Empirical Economics, 2022 - Springer
Rather than relying on a potentially poor point estimate of a coefficient break date when
forecasting, this paper proposes averaging forecasts over sub-samples indicated by a …

Optimal model averaging based on leave‐ ‐out forward‐validation for threshold autoregressive models

L **, Y Liu, Z Chen, X Zhang - Stat, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
The threshold autoregressive (TAR) model has received considerable attention in nonlinear
time series literature. To weaken the impacts coming from model uncertainty and to improve …

Determinants of firm boundaries and organizational performance: an empirical investigation of the Chilean truck market

C Balcells - Journal of Evolutionary Economics, 2022 - Springer
The boundaries of a firm, particularly those of manufacturers that import heavy-duty Class 8
trucks and tractors into the Chilean automotive market, depend on economizing transaction …

Analyzing cross-validation for forecasting with structural instability

K Hirano, JH Wright - Journal of Econometrics, 2022 - Elsevier
When forecasting with economic time series data, researchers often use a restricted window
of observations or downweight past observations in order to mitigate the potential effects of …

Convergence Rates of GMM Estimators with Nonsmooth Moments under Misspecification

B Kang, S Lee, J Song - arxiv preprint arxiv:2501.09540, 2025 - arxiv.org
The asymptotic behavior of GMM estimators depends critically on whether the underlying
moment condition model is correctly specified. Hong and Li (2023, Econometric Theory) …

La influencia del Business Analytics en la gestión de ventas de las MYPES peruanas

H Rodríguez Guillén, P Wong Luy - 2020 - alicia.concytec.gob.pe
La investigación tiene por objetivo determinar de qué manera el uso de las herramientas
del Bussines Analytics en una etapa temprana de las MYPES peruanas es beneficiosa para …