Explaining prediction models and individual predictions with feature contributions

E Štrumbelj, I Kononenko - Knowledge and information systems, 2014 - Springer
We present a sensitivity analysis-based method for explaining prediction models that can be
applied to any type of classification or regression model. Its advantage over existing general …

Perturbation-based explanations of prediction models

M Robnik-Šikonja, M Bohanec - Human and Machine Learning: Visible …, 2018 - Springer
Current research into algorithmic explanation methods for predictive models can be divided
into two main approaches: gradient-based approaches limited to neural networks and more …

[PDF][PDF] An efficient explanation of individual classifications using game theory

E Strumbelj, I Kononenko - The Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2010 - jmlr.org
We present a general method for explaining individual predictions of classification models.
The method is based on fundamental concepts from coalitional game theory and predictions …

Explaining machine learning models in sales predictions

M Bohanec, MK Borštnar, M Robnik-Šikonja - Expert Systems with …, 2017 - Elsevier
A complexity of business dynamics often forces decision-makers to make decisions based
on subjective mental models, reflecting their experience. However, research has shown that …

Explaining data-driven decisions made by AI systems: the counterfactual approach

C Fernández-Loría, F Provost, X Han - arxiv preprint arxiv:2001.07417, 2020 - arxiv.org
We examine counterfactual explanations for explaining the decisions made by model-based
AI systems. The counterfactual approach we consider defines an explanation as a set of the …

Detecting concept drift in data streams using model explanation

J Demšar, Z Bosnić - Expert Systems with Applications, 2018 - Elsevier
Learning from data streams (incremental learning) is increasingly attracting research focus
due to many real-world streaming problems and due to many open challenges, among …

Explaining instance classifications with interactions of subsets of feature values

E Štrumbelj, I Kononenko, MR Šikonja - Data & Knowledge Engineering, 2009 - Elsevier
In this paper, we present a novel method for explaining the decisions of an arbitrary
classifier, independent of the type of classifier. The method works at the instance level …

[PDF][PDF] An interpretable machine learning workflow with an application to economic forecasting

M Buckmann, A Joseph, H Robertson - International Journal of Central …, 2023 - ijcb.org
Predictive machine learning models are increasingly being used at decisionmaking
institutions, such as central banks, governments, and international institutions (Doerr …

Feature construction using explanations of individual predictions

B Vouk, M Guid, M Robnik-Šikonja - Engineering Applications of Artificial …, 2023 - Elsevier
Feature construction can contribute to comprehensibility and performance of machine
learning models. Unfortunately, it usually requires exhaustive search in the attribute space …

A general method for visualizing and explaining black-box regression models

E Štrumbelj, I Kononenko - … , ICANNGA 2011, Ljubljana, Slovenia, April 14 …, 2011 - Springer
We propose a method for explaining regression models and their predictions for individual
instances. The method successfully reveals how individual features influence the model and …