Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
A review of the role of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in Atlantic multidecadal variability and associated climate impacts
By synthesizing recent studies employing a wide range of approaches (modern
observations, paleo reconstructions, and climate model simulations), this paper provides a …
observations, paleo reconstructions, and climate model simulations), this paper provides a …
Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum
Climate changes across the past 24,000 years provide key insights into Earth system
responses to external forcing. Climate model simulations, and proxy data,,,,–have …
responses to external forcing. Climate model simulations, and proxy data,,,,–have …
Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …
Glacial cooling and climate sensitivity revisited
Abstract The Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), one of the best studied palaeoclimatic intervals,
offers an excellent opportunity to investigate how the climate system responds to changes in …
offers an excellent opportunity to investigate how the climate system responds to changes in …
Mechanisms of tropical Pacific decadal variability
Naturally occurring tropical Pacific variations at timescales of 7–70 years—tropical Pacific
decadal variability (TPDV)—describe basin-scale sea surface temperature (SST), sea-level …
decadal variability (TPDV)—describe basin-scale sea surface temperature (SST), sea-level …
Climate change and drought: From past to future
Drought is a complex and multivariate phenomenon influenced by diverse physical and
biological processes. Such complexity precludes simplistic explanations of cause and effect …
biological processes. Such complexity precludes simplistic explanations of cause and effect …
No evidence for globally coherent warm and cold periods over the preindustrial Common Era
Earth's climate history is often understood by breaking it down into constituent climatic
epochs 1. Over the Common Era (the past 2,000 years) these epochs, such as the Little Ice …
epochs 1. Over the Common Era (the past 2,000 years) these epochs, such as the Little Ice …
Consistent multidecadal variability in global temperature reconstructions and simulations over the Common Era
Nature geoscience, 2019 - nature.com
Multidecadal surface temperature changes may be forced by natural as well as
anthropogenic factors, or arise unforced from the climate system. Distinguishing these …
anthropogenic factors, or arise unforced from the climate system. Distinguishing these …
Last Millennium Reanalysis with an expanded proxy database and seasonal proxy modeling
The Last Millennium Reanalysis (LMR) utilizes an ensemble methodology to assimilate
paleoclimate data for the production of annually resolved climate field reconstructions of the …
paleoclimate data for the production of annually resolved climate field reconstructions of the …