[BOK][B] Statistical foundations of actuarial learning and its applications

MV Wüthrich, M Merz - 2023 - library.oapen.org
This open access book discusses the statistical modeling of insurance problems, a process
which comprises data collection, data analysis and statistical model building to forecast …

[HTML][HTML] Phase-type distributions in mathematical population genetics: An emerging framework

A Hobolth, I Rivas-González, M Bladt… - Theoretical Population …, 2024 - Elsevier
A phase-type distribution is the time to absorption in a continuous-or discrete-time Markov
chain. Phase-type distributions can be used as a general framework to calculate key …

[HTML][HTML] Mortality modeling and regression with matrix distributions

H Albrecher, M Bladt, M Bladt, J Yslas - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2022 - Elsevier
In this paper we investigate the flexibility of matrix distributions for the modeling of mortality.
Starting from a simple Gompertz law, we show how the introduction of matrix-valued …

Generalized linear models

MV Wüthrich, M Merz - Statistical foundations of actuarial learning and its …, 2022 - Springer
This chapter discusses state-of-the-art statistical modeling in insurance and actuarial
science, which is the generalized linear model (GLM). We discuss GLMs in the light of claim …

[PDF][PDF] PhaseTypeR: an R package for phase-type distributions in population genetics

I Rivas-González, LN Andersen… - Journal of Open Source …, 2023 - joss.theoj.org
Phase-type distributions describe the time until absorption of a continuous or discrete-time
Markov chain (Bladt & Nielsen, 2017). The probabilistic properties of phase-type …

Aggregate Markov models in life insurance: estimation via the EM algorithm

J Ahmad, M Bladt - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper, we consider statistical estimation of time–inhomogeneous aggregate Markov
models. Unaggregated models, which corresponds to Markov chains, are commonly used in …

Phase-type mixture-of-experts regression for loss severities

M Bladt, J Yslas - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The task of modeling claim severities is addressed when data is not consistent with the
classical regression assumptions. This framework is common in several lines of business …

Phase-type distributions for claim severity regression modeling

M Bladt - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2022 - cambridge.org
This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the
data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not …

Bayesian methods, regularization and expectation-maximization

MV Wüthrich, M Merz - Statistical Foundations of Actuarial Learning and its …, 2022 - Springer
This chapter summarizes some techniques that use Bayes' theorem. These are classical
Bayesian statistical models using, eg, the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for …

Strongly convergent homogeneous approximations to inhomogeneous Markov jump processes and applications

M Bladt, O Peralta - Mathematics of Operations Research, 2025 - pubsonline.informs.org
The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within
probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications …