Statistical modeling of spatial extremes

AC Davison, SA Padoan, M Ribatet - 2012 - projecteuclid.org
The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is
important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is …

Advances in statistical modeling of spatial extremes

R Huser, JL Wadsworth - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (ie, max‐stable or r‐
Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at …

An optimization-centric view on Bayes' rule: Reviewing and generalizing variational inference

J Knoblauch, J Jewson, T Damoulas - Journal of Machine Learning …, 2022 - jmlr.org
We advocate an optimization-centric view of Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the
representation of Bayes' rule as infinite-dimensional optimization (Csisz´ r, 1975; Donsker …

A general framework for updating belief distributions

PG Bissiri, CC Holmes… - Journal of the Royal …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a
prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to …

Flood trends in Europe: are changes in small and big floods different?

M Bertola, A Viglione, D Lun, J Hall… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2020 - hess.copernicus.org
Recent studies have revealed evidence of trends in the median or mean flood discharge in
Europe over the last 5 decades, with clear and coherent regional patterns. The aim of this …

Space–time modelling of extreme events

R Huser, AC Davison - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
Max-stable processes are the natural analogues of the generalized extreme value
distribution when modelling extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions …

Generalized variational inference: Three arguments for deriving new posteriors

J Knoblauch, J Jewson, T Damoulas - arxiv preprint arxiv:1904.02063, 2019 - arxiv.org
We advocate an optimization-centric view on and introduce a novel generalization of
Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the representation of Bayes' rule as infinite …

A global analysis of the asymmetric effect of ENSO on extreme precipitation

X Sun, B Renard, M Thyer, S Westra, M Lang - Journal of Hydrology, 2015 - Elsevier
The global and regional influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon
on extreme precipitation was analyzed using a global database comprising over 7000 high …

Bayesian few-shot classification with one-vs-each p\'olya-gamma augmented gaussian processes

J Snell, R Zemel - arxiv preprint arxiv:2007.10417, 2020 - arxiv.org
Few-shot classification (FSC), the task of adapting a classifier to unseen classes given a
small labeled dataset, is an important step on the path toward human-like machine learning …

Do small and large floods have the same drivers of change? A regional attribution analysis in Europe

M Bertola, A Viglione, S Vorogushyn… - Hydrology and Earth …, 2020 - hess.copernicus.org
Recent studies have shown evidence of increasing and decreasing trends in mean annual
floods and flood quantiles across Europe. Studies attributing observed changes in flood …