Statistical modeling of spatial extremes
The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is
important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is …
important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is …
Advances in statistical modeling of spatial extremes
The classical modeling of spatial extremes relies on asymptotic models (ie, max‐stable or r‐
Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at …
Pareto processes) for block maxima or peaks over high thresholds, respectively. However, at …
An optimization-centric view on Bayes' rule: Reviewing and generalizing variational inference
We advocate an optimization-centric view of Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the
representation of Bayes' rule as infinite-dimensional optimization (Csisz´ r, 1975; Donsker …
representation of Bayes' rule as infinite-dimensional optimization (Csisz´ r, 1975; Donsker …
A general framework for updating belief distributions
We propose a framework for general Bayesian inference. We argue that a valid update of a
prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to …
prior belief distribution to a posterior can be made for parameters which are connected to …
Flood trends in Europe: are changes in small and big floods different?
Recent studies have revealed evidence of trends in the median or mean flood discharge in
Europe over the last 5 decades, with clear and coherent regional patterns. The aim of this …
Europe over the last 5 decades, with clear and coherent regional patterns. The aim of this …
Space–time modelling of extreme events
Max-stable processes are the natural analogues of the generalized extreme value
distribution when modelling extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions …
distribution when modelling extreme events in space and time. Under suitable conditions …
Generalized variational inference: Three arguments for deriving new posteriors
We advocate an optimization-centric view on and introduce a novel generalization of
Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the representation of Bayes' rule as infinite …
Bayesian inference. Our inspiration is the representation of Bayes' rule as infinite …
A global analysis of the asymmetric effect of ENSO on extreme precipitation
The global and regional influence of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon
on extreme precipitation was analyzed using a global database comprising over 7000 high …
on extreme precipitation was analyzed using a global database comprising over 7000 high …
Bayesian few-shot classification with one-vs-each p\'olya-gamma augmented gaussian processes
Few-shot classification (FSC), the task of adapting a classifier to unseen classes given a
small labeled dataset, is an important step on the path toward human-like machine learning …
small labeled dataset, is an important step on the path toward human-like machine learning …
Do small and large floods have the same drivers of change? A regional attribution analysis in Europe
Recent studies have shown evidence of increasing and decreasing trends in mean annual
floods and flood quantiles across Europe. Studies attributing observed changes in flood …
floods and flood quantiles across Europe. Studies attributing observed changes in flood …