Africa: The continent of the future. Challenges and opportunities
L Grinin, A Korotayev - Reconsidering the Limits to Growth: A Report to the …, 2023 - Springer
Grinin and Korotayev's main approach in this chapter is formulated in its title “Africa—the
Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most …
Continent of the Future. Challenges and Opportunities.” And it is really so. Africa is the most …
Introduction. Changing yet persistent: Revolutions and revolutionary events
This introductory chapter provides a number of definitions of different kinds and forms of
revolutionary events as well as a preliminary description of all the revolutionary waves of the …
revolutionary events as well as a preliminary description of all the revolutionary waves of the …
The Arab spring: Causes, conditions, and driving forces
L Grinin, A Korotayev - Handbook of revolutions in the 21st century: The …, 2022 - Springer
This chapter offers an analysis of conditions in the MENA countries on the eve of the Arab
Spring wave of revolutions from the World System perspective, as well as the causes …
Spring wave of revolutions from the World System perspective, as well as the causes …
Modeling social self-organization and historical dynamics: Africa's futures
This chapter presents forecasts for the emergence of large-scale political and demographic
collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) …
collapses and for the economic growth of some countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) …
Socio-economic development and protests: A quantitative reanalysis
The current article investigates societal indicators associated with economic development
that may account for the strong positive correlation between gdp per capita and protest …
that may account for the strong positive correlation between gdp per capita and protest …
Revolutions and democracy: can democracies prevent revolutionary armed violence?
In recent years, the question of what form a revolutionary uprising will take–armed or
unarmed–has been raised more often. This is because, as shown by numerous studies …
unarmed–has been raised more often. This is because, as shown by numerous studies …
Education and revolutions: why do revolutionary uprisings take violent or nonviolent forms?
Is there a relationship between education and the type of revolutionary action–violent or
nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and …
nonviolent? Past studies found a positive relationship between the education and …
Global Systems for Sociopolitical Instability Forecasting and Their Efficiency: A Comparative Analysis
This article offers a comparison of sociopolitical instability forecasting systems. It compares
systematically their efficiency by correlating their predictions for particular years with actual …
systematically their efficiency by correlating their predictions for particular years with actual …
Machine learning for ranking factors of global and regional protest destabilization with a special focus on Afrasian instability macrozone
Based on the experience of previous studies, the authors use machine learning methods at
two levels for evaluating predictors of instability. First, they analyze the factors that lead to …
two levels for evaluating predictors of instability. First, they analyze the factors that lead to …
[HTML][HTML] Social Macroevolution and Changes in the Human Value Systems. How has Modernization Affected Human Values?
The transition to expanded production and the exit from the Malthusian trap, two of the most
important components of modernization transition, lead to a long-term trend of per capita …
important components of modernization transition, lead to a long-term trend of per capita …