The basic reproduction number (R0) of measles: a systematic review

FM Guerra, S Bolotin, G Lim, J Heffernan… - The Lancet Infectious …, 2017 - thelancet.com
The basic reproduction number, R nought (R 0), is defined as the average number of
secondary cases of an infectious disease arising from a typical case in a totally susceptible …

Seasonality in ecology: Progress and prospects in theory

ER White, A Hastings - Ecological Complexity, 2020 - Elsevier
Seasonality is an important feature of essentially all natural systems but the consequences
of seasonality have been vastly underappreciated. Early work emphasized the role of …

[HTML][HTML] The French connection: the first large population-based contact survey in France relevant for the spread of infectious diseases

G Béraud, S Kazmercziak, P Beutels, D Levy-Bruhl… - PloS one, 2015 - journals.plos.org
Background Empirical social contact patterns are essential to understand the spread of
infectious diseases. To date, no such data existed for France. Although infectious diseases …

[KNJIGA][B] Epidemics: models and data using R

ON Bjørnstad - 2022 - books.google.com
This book is designed to be a practical study in infectious disease dynamics. It offers an easy-
to-follow implementation and analysis of mathematical epidemiology. It focuses on recent …

[HTML][HTML] Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates

RE Baker, AS Mahmud, CE Wagner, W Yang… - Nature …, 2019 - nature.com
A key question for infectious disease dynamics is the impact of the climate on future burden.
Here, we evaluate the climate drivers of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), an important …

Hand, foot, and mouth disease in China: modeling epidemic dynamics of enterovirus serotypes and implications for vaccination

S Takahashi, Q Liao, TP Van Boeckel, W **ng… - PLoS …, 2016 - journals.plos.org
Background Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a common childhood illness caused
by serotypes of the Enterovirus A species in the genus Enterovirus of the Picornaviridae …

Endemic persistence of a highly contagious pathogen: Foot-and-mouth disease in its wildlife host

A Jolles, E Gorsich, S Gubbins, B Beechler, P Buss… - Science, 2021 - science.org
Extremely contagious pathogens are a global biosecurity threat because of their high
burden of morbidity and mortality, as well as their capacity for fast-moving epidemics that are …

Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data

A Wesolowski, CJE Metcalf, N Eagle… - Proceedings of the …, 2015 - National Acad Sciences
Changing patterns of human aggregation are thought to drive annual and multiannual
outbreaks of infectious diseases, but the paucity of data about travel behavior and …

Multinational patterns of seasonal asymmetry in human movement influence infectious disease dynamics

A Wesolowski, E zu Erbach-Schoenberg… - Nature …, 2017 - nature.com
Seasonal variation in human mobility is globally ubiquitous and affects the spatial spread of
infectious diseases, but the ability to measure seasonality in human movement has been …

Analysis and prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease incidence in China using Random Forest and XGBoost

D Meng, J Xu, J Zhao - Plos one, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) is an increasingly serious public health problem, and
it has caused an outbreak in China every year since 2008. Predicting the incidence of HFMD …