Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo'
On 21 February 2020, a resident of the municipality of Vo', a small town near Padua (Italy),
died of pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …
died of pneumonia due to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) …
Temperature and population density influence SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the absence of nonpharmaceutical interventions
As COVID-19 continues to spread across the world, it is increasingly important to understand
the factors that influence its transmission. Seasonal variation driven by responses to …
the factors that influence its transmission. Seasonal variation driven by responses to …
The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
The pressing need to restart socioeconomic activities locked-down to control the spread of
SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax …
SARS-CoV-2 in Italy must be coupled with effective methodologies to selectively relax …
State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States
As of 1st June 2020, the US Centres for Disease Control and Prevention reported 104,232
confirmed or probable COVID-19-related deaths in the US. This was more than twice the …
confirmed or probable COVID-19-related deaths in the US. This was more than twice the …
Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies
Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions (lockdowns) were introduced
worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to …
worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to …
Country-wide mobility changes observed using mobile phone data during COVID-19 pandemic
In March 2020, the Austrian government introduced a widespread lock-down in response to
the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on subjective impressions and anecdotal evidence …
the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on subjective impressions and anecdotal evidence …
Accounting for uncertainty during a pandemic
We discuss several issues of statistical design, data collection, analysis, communication,
and decision-making that have arisen in recent and ongoing coronavirus studies, focusing …
and decision-making that have arisen in recent and ongoing coronavirus studies, focusing …
Modelling and predicting the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19, associated deaths and impact of key risk factors in England
COVID-19 caseloads in England have passed through a first peak, and at the time of this
analysis appeared to be gradually increasing, potentially signalling the emergence of a …
analysis appeared to be gradually increasing, potentially signalling the emergence of a …
A simple but complex enough θ-SIR type model to be used with COVID-19 real data. Application to the case of Italy
Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in China many models have appeared in the
literature, trying to simulate its dynamics. Focusing on modeling the biological and …
literature, trying to simulate its dynamics. Focusing on modeling the biological and …
Hyperbolic models for the spread of epidemics on networks: kinetic description and numerical methods
We consider the development of hyperbolic transport models for the propagation in space of
an epidemic phenomenon described by a classical compartmental dynamics. The model is …
an epidemic phenomenon described by a classical compartmental dynamics. The model is …