Causal inference in the social sciences
GW Imbens - Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 2024 - annualreviews.org
Knowledge of causal effects is of great importance to decision makers in a wide variety of
settings. In many cases, however, these causal effects are not known to the decision makers …
settings. In many cases, however, these causal effects are not known to the decision makers …
Peer effects in networks: A survey
We survey the recent, fast-growing literature on peer effects in networks. An important
recurring theme is that the causal identification of peer effects depends on the structure of …
recurring theme is that the causal identification of peer effects depends on the structure of …
Statistical Significance, p-Values, and the Reporting of Uncertainty
GW Imbens - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2021 - aeaweb.org
The use of statistical significance and p-values has become a matter of substantial
controversy in various fields using statistical methods. This has gone as far as some journals …
controversy in various fields using statistical methods. This has gone as far as some journals …
[PDF][PDF] The impact of machine learning on economics
S Athey - The economics of artificial intelligence: An agenda, 2018 - nber.org
This paper provides an assessment of the early contributions of machine learning to
economics, as well as predictions about its future contributions. It begins by briefly …
economics, as well as predictions about its future contributions. It begins by briefly …
The econometrics of randomized experiments
In this chapter, we present econometric and statistical methods for analyzing randomized
experiments. For basic experiments, we stress randomization-based inference as opposed …
experiments. For basic experiments, we stress randomization-based inference as opposed …
Interdependence and the cost of uncoordinated responses to COVID-19
Social distancing is the core policy response to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). But,
as federal, state and local governments begin opening businesses and relaxing shelter-in …
as federal, state and local governments begin opening businesses and relaxing shelter-in …
Potential outcome and directed acyclic graph approaches to causality: Relevance for empirical practice in economics
GW Imbens - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
In this essay I discuss potential outcome and graphical approaches to causality, and their
relevance for empirical work in economics. I review some of the work on directed acyclic …
relevance for empirical work in economics. I review some of the work on directed acyclic …
Protecting elections from social media manipulation
To what extent are democratic elections vulnerable to social media manipulation? The
fractured state of research and evidence on this most important question facing democracy …
fractured state of research and evidence on this most important question facing democracy …
Non-random exposure to exogenous shocks: Theory and applications
K Borusyak, P Hull - 2020 - nber.org
We develop new tools for estimating the causal effects of treatments or instruments that
combine multiple sources of variation according to a known formula. Examples include …
combine multiple sources of variation according to a known formula. Examples include …
[HTML][HTML] Average treatment effects in the presence of unknown interference
We investigate large-sample properties of treatment effect estimators under unknown
interference in randomized experiments. The inferential target is a generalization of the …
interference in randomized experiments. The inferential target is a generalization of the …