In the absence of reliable, internationally available migration flow data necessary for
statistical forecasting, policymakers increasingly turn to survey data on emigration intentions …

Climate change will have significant impacts on all aspects of human society, including
population movements. In some cases, populations will be displaced by natural disasters …

This paper reconsiders Stephen Castle's classic paper Why Migration Policies Fail.
Beginning with the so-called migration crisis of 2015 it considers the role of numbers is …

In recent years, global forced displacement has reached record levels, with 22.5 million
refugees worldwide. Forecasting refugee movements is important, as accurate predictions …

How many people will likely move in the decades to come? And where will they come from
and move to? Policymakers worldwide have a keen interest in these questions. While long …

Forced displacement has a huge impact on society today, as more than 68 million people
are forcibly displaced worldwide. Existing methods for forecasting the arrival of migrants …

We develop monthly asylum seeker flow forecasting models for 157 origin countries to the
EU27, using machine learning and high-dimensional data, including digital trace data from …

Promoting human mobility and reducing inequality among countries are the Sustainable
Development Goals'(SDGs) targets. However, measuring human mobility, assessing its …

In Europe, the monitoring and management of migration flows are high on the political
agenda. Evidence-based monitoring calls for adequate data, which do not exist. The …

International migration is difficult to predict because of uncertainties. The identification of
sources of uncertainty and the measurement and modelling of uncertainties are necessary …