Mountain areas are biodiversity hotspots and provide a multitude of ecosystem services of
irreplaceable socio‐economic value. In the European Alps, air temperature has increased at …

Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

Increased efforts are required to prevent further losses to terrestrial biodiversity and the
ecosystem services that it provides,. Ambitious targets have been proposed, such as …

While there is a clear demand for scenarios that provide alternative states in biodiversity with
respect to future emissions, a thorough analysis and communication of the associated …

In ecology, the true causal structure for a given problem is often not known, and several
plausible models and thus model predictions exist. It has been claimed that using weighted …

Better methods to predict and prevent the emergence of zoonotic viruses could support
future efforts to reduce the risk of epidemics. We propose a network science framework for …

Predictive studies are of paramount importance for biological invasions, one of the biggest
threats for biodiversity. To help and better prioritize management strategies, species …

Dryland ecosystems may be especially vulnerable to expected 21st century increases in
temperature and aridity because they are tightly controlled by moisture availability. However …

We propose four postulates as the minimum set of logical propositions necessary for a
theory of pulse dynamics and disturbance in ecosystems:(1) resource dynamics …

BACKGROUND As global climate change accelerates, one of the most urgent tasks for the
coming decades is to develop accurate predictions about biological responses to guide the …