[HTML][HTML] Forecast reconciliation: A review

G Athanasopoulos, RJ Hyndman, N Kourentzes… - International Journal of …, 2024 - Elsevier
Collections of time series formed via aggregation are prevalent in many fields. These are
commonly referred to as hierarchical time series and may be constructed cross-sectionally …

Longevity risk and capital markets: The 2019-20 update

D Blake, AJG Cairns - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract This Special Issue of Insurance: Mathematics and Economics contains 16
contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets …

Mortality forecasting with an age-coherent sparse var model

H Li, Y Shi - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
This paper proposes an age-coherent sparse Vector Autoregression mortality model, which
combines the appealing features of existing VAR-based mortality models, to forecast future …

Longevity risk and capital markets: the 2021–22 update

D Blake, AJG Cairns, M Kallestrup-Lamb… - Journal of …, 2023 - cambridge.org
This special issue of the Journal of Demographic Economics contains 10 contributions to the
academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the …

A tensor-based approach to cause-of-death mortality modeling

G Cardillo, P Giordani, S Levantesi, A Nigri - Annals of Operations …, 2024 - Springer
In various situations, a researcher analyses data stored in a matrix. Often, the information is
replicated on different occasions that can be time-varying or refer to different conditions. In …

Gompertz law revisited: Forecasting mortality with a multi-factor exponential model

H Li, KS Tan, S Tuljapurkar, W Zhu - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper provides a flexible way to address some ongoing challenges in mortality
modeling, with a special focus on the mortality curvature and possible mortality plateau for …

Forecasting mortality with international linkages: A global vector-autoregression approach

H Li, Y Shi - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) mortality model to
simultaneously model and forecast multi-population mortality dynamics. The proposed …

A Bibliometric Analysis of Research on Stochastic Mortality Modelling and Forecasting

N Redzwan, R Ramli - Risks, 2022 - mdpi.com
Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades,
leading to growing interest in understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of …

Recent declines in life expectancy: Implication on longevity risk hedging

JSH Li, Y Liu - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
An article published in the British Medical Journal in 2018 reveals that a number of
developed countries have experienced a decline in life expectancy in recent years. Within …

Forecasting multiple functional time series in a group structure: an application to mortality

HL Shang, S Haberman - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2020 - cambridge.org
When modelling subnational mortality rates, we should consider three features:(1) how to
incorporate any possible correlation among subpopulations to potentially improve forecast …