Measuring investor sentiment

G Zhou - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2018 - annualreviews.org
Investor sentiment indicates how far an asset value deviates from its economic
fundamentals. In this article, we review various measures of investor sentiment based on …

Financial machine learning

B Kelly, D **u - Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We
highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend …

Behavioral mediators of financial decision making–a state-of-art literature review

RM Nigam, S Srivastava, DK Banwet - Review of Behavioral Finance, 2018 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to review the insights provided by behavioral finance
studies conducted in the last decade (2006-2015) examining behavioral variables in …

Forecasting crude oil prices with a large set of predictors: Can LASSO select powerful predictors?

Y Zhang, F Ma, Y Wang - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper, we use two prevailing shrinkage methods, the lasso and elastic net, to predict
oil price returns with a large set of predictors. The out-of-sample results indicate that the …

Dissecting climate change risk and financial market instability: Implications for ecological risk management

F Ma, J Cao, Y Wang, SA Vigne, D Dong - Risk Analysis, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This research investigates the impact of climate challenges on financial markets by
introducing an innovative approach to measure climate risk, specifically the aggregate …

More attention and better volatility forecast accuracy: How does war attention affect stock volatility predictability?

C Liang, L Wang, D Duong - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2024 - Elsevier
This paper aims to explore the impact of war attention on stock volatility predictability by
constructing a new war attention index and employing an extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES …

Investor sentiment aligned: A powerful predictor of stock returns

D Huang, F Jiang, J Tu, G Zhou - The review of financial studies, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We propose a new investor sentiment index that is aligned with the purpose of predicting the
aggregate stock market. By eliminating a common noise component in sentiment proxies …

Short interest and aggregate stock returns

DE Rapach, MC Ringgenberg, G Zhou - Journal of Financial Economics, 2016 - Elsevier
We show that short interest is arguably the strongest known predictor of aggregate stock
returns. It outperforms a host of popular return predictors both in and out of sample, with …

Investor attention and stock returns

J Chen, G Tang, J Yao, G Zhou - Journal of Financial and …, 2022 - cambridge.org
We propose an investor attention index based on proxies in the literature and find that it
predicts the stock market risk premium significantly, both in sample and out of sample …

Oil and the short-term predictability of stock return volatility

Y Wang, Y Wei, C Wu, L Yin - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2018 - Elsevier
The goal of this paper is to show that crude oil volatility is predictive of stock volatility in the
short-term from both in-sample and out-of-sample perspectives. The revealed predictability …