A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods

M Zellner, AE Abbas, DV Budescu… - Royal Society open …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
This paper's top-level goal is to provide an overview of research conducted in the many
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …

Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions

C Werner, T Bedford, RM Cooke, AM Hanea… - European Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Many applications in decision making under uncertainty and probabilistic risk assessment
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …

Probabilistic modelling of drought events in China via 2-dimensional joint copula

OO Ayantobo, Y Li, S Song, T Javed, N Yao - Journal of Hydrology, 2018 - Elsevier
Probabilistic modelling of drought events is a significant aspect of water resources
management and planning. In this study, popularly applied and several relatively new …

[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic modeling of flood characterizations with parametric and minimum information pair-copula model

A Daneshkhah, R Remesan, O Chatrabgoun… - Journal of …, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper highlights the usefulness of the minimum information and parametric pair-copula
construction (PCC) to model the joint distribution of flood event properties. Both of these …

Coupling Bayesian Network and copula theory for water shortage assessment: A case study in source area of the South-to-North Water Division Project (SNWDP)

X Zha, H Sun, H Jiang, L Cao, J Xue, D Gui, D Yan… - Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
Updating the appropriate risk measures is vital for management practice in reservoir
operation and offers new insights for decision-making. Water diversion may cause water …

Copula-based probabilistic assessment of intensity and duration of cold episodes: A case study of Malayer vineyard region

O Chatrabgoun, R Karimi, A Daneshkhah… - Agricultural and Forest …, 2020 - Elsevier
Frost, particularly during the spring, is one of the most damaging weather phenomena for
vineyards, causing significant economic losses to vineyards around the world each year …

Multidimensional risk evaluation of natural gas pipelines based on a multicriteria decision model using visualization tools and statistical tests for global sensitivity …

CP Medeiros, MH Alencar, AT de Almeida - Reliability Engineering & …, 2017 - Elsevier
Multidimensional risk analysis in pipelines has been addressed in the literature in recent
years which has led to a greater understanding of risk in the decision context. A risk …

A global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output estimation models

JA Carta, S Díaz, A Castañeda - Applied Energy, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output
estimation models. The relevance of a global sensibility analysis is that it allows …

A copula‐based method of risk prediction for autonomous underwater gliders in dynamic environments

X Chen, N Bose, M Brito, F Khan, T Zou - Risk Analysis, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Autonomous underwater gliders (AUGs) are effective platforms for oceanic research and
environmental monitoring. However, complex underwater environments with uncertainties …

[PDF][PDF] Parametric vine copula construction for flood analysis for Kelantan river basin in Malaysia

S Latif, F Mustafa - Civil Engineering Journal, 2020 - core.ac.uk
The multivariate approach of flood characteristics such as flood peak flow (P), volume (V),
and duration (D) is much beneficial in recognizing the critical behaviour of flood episodes at …