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A survey of human judgement and quantitative forecasting methods
This paper's top-level goal is to provide an overview of research conducted in the many
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …
academic domains concerned with forecasting. By providing a summary encompassing …
Expert judgement for dependence in probabilistic modelling: A systematic literature review and future research directions
Many applications in decision making under uncertainty and probabilistic risk assessment
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …
require the assessment of multiple, dependent uncertain quantities, so that in addition to …
Probabilistic modelling of drought events in China via 2-dimensional joint copula
Probabilistic modelling of drought events is a significant aspect of water resources
management and planning. In this study, popularly applied and several relatively new …
management and planning. In this study, popularly applied and several relatively new …
[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic modeling of flood characterizations with parametric and minimum information pair-copula model
This paper highlights the usefulness of the minimum information and parametric pair-copula
construction (PCC) to model the joint distribution of flood event properties. Both of these …
construction (PCC) to model the joint distribution of flood event properties. Both of these …
Coupling Bayesian Network and copula theory for water shortage assessment: A case study in source area of the South-to-North Water Division Project (SNWDP)
Updating the appropriate risk measures is vital for management practice in reservoir
operation and offers new insights for decision-making. Water diversion may cause water …
operation and offers new insights for decision-making. Water diversion may cause water …
Copula-based probabilistic assessment of intensity and duration of cold episodes: A case study of Malayer vineyard region
Frost, particularly during the spring, is one of the most damaging weather phenomena for
vineyards, causing significant economic losses to vineyards around the world each year …
vineyards, causing significant economic losses to vineyards around the world each year …
Multidimensional risk evaluation of natural gas pipelines based on a multicriteria decision model using visualization tools and statistical tests for global sensitivity …
Multidimensional risk analysis in pipelines has been addressed in the literature in recent
years which has led to a greater understanding of risk in the decision context. A risk …
years which has led to a greater understanding of risk in the decision context. A risk …
A global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output estimation models
JA Carta, S Díaz, A Castañeda - Applied Energy, 2020 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a global sensitivity analysis method applied to wind farm power output
estimation models. The relevance of a global sensibility analysis is that it allows …
estimation models. The relevance of a global sensibility analysis is that it allows …
A copula‐based method of risk prediction for autonomous underwater gliders in dynamic environments
Autonomous underwater gliders (AUGs) are effective platforms for oceanic research and
environmental monitoring. However, complex underwater environments with uncertainties …
environmental monitoring. However, complex underwater environments with uncertainties …
[PDF][PDF] Parametric vine copula construction for flood analysis for Kelantan river basin in Malaysia
S Latif, F Mustafa - Civil Engineering Journal, 2020 - core.ac.uk
The multivariate approach of flood characteristics such as flood peak flow (P), volume (V),
and duration (D) is much beneficial in recognizing the critical behaviour of flood episodes at …
and duration (D) is much beneficial in recognizing the critical behaviour of flood episodes at …