A look into the future of the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe: an expert consultation

EN Iftekhar, V Priesemann, R Balling… - The Lancet Regional …, 2021 - thelancet.com
How will the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic develop in the coming months
and years? Based on an expert survey, we examine key aspects that are likely to influence …

Modeling vaccination rollouts, SARS-CoV-2 variants and the requirement for non-pharmaceutical interventions in Italy

G Giordano, M Colaneri, A Di Filippo, F Blanchini… - Nature medicine, 2021 - nature.com
Despite progress in clinical care for patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19),
population-wide interventions are still crucial to manage the pandemic, which has been …

SARS-CoV-2 elimination, not mitigation, creates best outcomes for health, the economy, and civil liberties

M Oliu-Barton, BSR Pradelski, P Aghion, P Artus… - The Lancet, 2021 - thelancet.com
3 Priyamvatha P. How India's second Covid wave started, what went wrong, and what can
be done: top virologist answers. India Today, April 28, 2021. https://www. indiatoday …

Data-driven methods for present and future pandemics: Monitoring, modelling and managing

T Alamo, DG Reina, PM Gata, VM Preciado… - Annual Reviews in …, 2021 - Elsevier
This survey analyses the role of data-driven methodologies for pandemic modelling and
control. We provide a roadmap from the access to epidemiological data sources to the …

An action plan for pan-European defence against new SARS-CoV-2 variants

V Priesemann, R Balling, MM Brinkmann, S Ciesek… - The Lancet, 2021 - thelancet.com
COVID-19 cases are very high across Europe. Current measures are not reducing virus
spread sufficiently, and new severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV …

COVID-19 second wave mortality in Europe and the United States

N James, M Menzies, P Radchenko - Chaos: an interdisciplinary …, 2021 - pubs.aip.org
This paper introduces new methods to analyze the changing progression of COVID-19
cases to deaths in different waves of the pandemic. First, an algorithmic approach partitions …

[HTML][HTML] Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics

ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …