Testing, tracing and isolation in compartmental models

S Sturniolo, W Waites, T Colbourn… - PLoS computational …, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Existing compartmental mathematical modelling methods for epidemics, such as SEIR
models, cannot accurately represent effects of contact tracing. This makes them …

The stochastic dynamics of early epidemics: probability of establishment, initial growth rate, and infection cluster size at first detection

P Czuppon, E Schertzer… - Journal of The …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Emerging epidemics and local infection clusters are initially prone to stochastic effects that
can substantially impact the early epidemic trajectory. While numerous studies are devoted …

Epidemic models with varying infectivity

R Forien, G Pang, É Pardoux - SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics, 2021 - SIAM
We introduce an epidemic model with varying infectivity and general exposed and infectious
periods, where the infectivity of each individual is a random function of the elapsed time …

Individual based SIS models on (not so) dense large random networks

JF Delmas, P Frasca, F Garin, VC Tran… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Starting from a stochastic individual-based description of an SIS epidemic spreading on a
random network, we study the dynamics when the size $ n $ of the network tends to infinity …

Exact description of limiting SIR and SEIR dynamics on locally tree-like graphs

J Cocomello, K Ramanan - arxiv preprint arxiv:2309.08829, 2023 - arxiv.org
We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-
Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of …

Recent advances in epidemic modeling: Non-Markov stochastic models and their scaling limits

R Forien, G Pang, É Pardoux - arxiv preprint arxiv:2106.08466, 2021 - arxiv.org
In this survey paper, we review the recent advances in individual based non--Markovian
epidemic models. They include epidemic models with a constant infectivity rate, varying …

Optimal vaccination policy to prevent endemicity: a stochastic model

F Foutel-Rodier, A Charpentier, H Guérin - Journal of Mathematical …, 2025 - Springer
We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the
establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that …

SPDE for stochastic SIR epidemic models with infection-age dependent infectivity

G Pang, E Pardoux - arxiv preprint arxiv:2410.17200, 2024 - arxiv.org
We study the stochastic SIR epidemic model with infection-age dependent infectivity for
which a measure-valued process is used to describe the ages of infection for each …

Functional law of large numbers and PDEs for epidemic models with infection-age dependent infectivity

G Pang, É Pardoux - Applied Mathematics & Optimization, 2023 - Springer
We study epidemic models where the infectivity of each individual is a random function of
the infection age (the elapsed time since infection). To describe the epidemic evolution …

Hybrid PDE–ODE models for efficient simulation of infection spread in epidemiology

K Maier, M Weiser, T Conrad - Proceedings A, 2025 - royalsocietypublishing.org
This article introduces a novel hybrid mathematical modelling approach that effectively
couples partial differential equations (PDEs) with ordinary differential equations (ODEs) …