Truncated proposals for scalable and hassle-free simulation-based inference

M Deistler, PJ Goncalves… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Simulation-based inference (SBI) solves statistical inverse problems by repeatedly running a
stochastic simulator and inferring posterior distributions from model-simulations. To improve …

[HTML][HTML] Snowmass2021 theory frontier white paper: Astrophysical and cosmological probes of dark matter

KK Boddy, M Lisanti, SD McDermott, NL Rodd… - Journal of High Energy …, 2022 - Elsevier
While astrophysical and cosmological probes provide a remarkably precise and consistent
picture of the quantity and general properties of dark matter, its fundamental nature remains …

Neural posterior estimation with guaranteed exact coverage: The ringdown of GW150914

M Crisostomi, K Dey, E Barausse, R Trotta - Physical Review D, 2023 - APS
We analyze the ringdown phase of the first detected black-hole merger, GW150914, using a
simulation-based inference pipeline based on masked autoregressive flows. We obtain …

Contrastive neural ratio estimation

BK Miller, C Weniger, P Forré - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Likelihood-to-evidence ratio estimation is usually cast as either a binary (NRE-A) or a
multiclass (NRE-B) classification task. In contrast to the binary classification framework, the …

Fast and credible likelihood-free cosmology with truncated marginal neural ratio estimation

A Cole, BK Miller, SJ Witte, MX Cai… - … of Cosmology and …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Sampling-based inference techniques are central to modern cosmological data analysis;
these methods, however, scale poorly with dimensionality and typically require approximate …

Truncated marginal neural ratio estimation

BK Miller, A Cole, P Forré, G Louppe… - Advances in Neural …, 2021 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Parametric stochastic simulators are ubiquitous in science, often featuring high-dimensional
input parameters and/or an intractable likelihood. Performing Bayesian parameter inference …