[LLIBRE][B] GARCH models: structure, statistical inference and financial applications

C Francq, JM Zakoian - 2019 - books.google.com
Provides a comprehensive and updated study of GARCH models and their applications in
finance, covering new developments in the discipline This book provides a comprehensive …

Distributional conformal prediction

V Chernozhukov, K Wüthrich, Y Zhu - … of the National Academy of Sciences, 2021 - pnas.org
We propose a robust method for constructing conditionally valid prediction intervals based
on models for conditional distributions such as quantile and distribution regression. Our …

[LLIBRE][B] Modelling nonlinear economic time series

T Teräsvirta, D Tjøstheim, CWJ Granger - 2010 - academic.oup.com
This book contains a up-to-date overview of nonlinear time series models and their
application to modelling economic relationships. It considers nonlinear models in stationary …

Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables

J Baruník, T Kley - The Econometrics Journal, 2019 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures
emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of …

Feasible invertibility conditions and maximum likelihood estimation for observation-driven models

F Blasques, P Gorgi, SJ Koopman, O Wintenberger - 2018 - projecteuclid.org
Invertibility conditions for observation-driven time series models often fail to be guaranteed
in empirical applications. As a result, the asymptotic theory of maximum likelihood and quasi …

Merits and drawbacks of variance targeting in GARCH models

C Francq, L Horvath, JM Zakoïan - Journal of Financial …, 2011 - academic.oup.com
Variance targeting estimation (VTE) is a technique used to alleviate the numerical difficulties
encountered in the quasi-maximum likelihood estimation (QMLE) of GARCH models. It relies …

Strict stationarity testing and estimation of explosive and stationary generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models

C Francq, JM Zakoïan - Econometrica, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the quasi‐maximum likelihood estimator of
(generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity) GARCH (1, 1) models without …

Ergodicity, mixing, and existence of moments of a class of Markov models with applications to GARCH and ACD models

M Meitz, P Saikkonen - Econometric Theory, 2008 - cambridge.org
This paper studies a class of Markov models that consist of two components. Typically, one
of the components is observable and the other is unobservable or “hidden.” Conditions …

Of copulas, quantiles, ranks and spectra: An -approach to spectral analysis

H Dette, M Hallin, T Kley, S Volgushev - 2015 - projecteuclid.org
In this paper, we present an alternative method for the spectral analysis of a univariate,
strictly stationary time series {Y_t\}_t∈Z. We define a “new” spectrum as the Fourier …

Powerful backtests for historical simulation Expected Shortfall models

Z Du, P Pei, X Wang, T Yang - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Abstract Since 2016, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has regulated banks to
switch from a Value-at-Risk (VaR) to an Expected Shortfall (ES) approach to measuring the …