Nested sampling methods

J Buchner - Statistic Surveys, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
Nested sampling (NS) computes parameter posterior distributions and makes Bayesian
model comparison computationally feasible. Its strengths are the unsupervised navigation of …

Efficient black-box assessment of autonomous vehicle safety

J Norden, M O'Kelly, A Sinha - arxiv preprint arxiv:1912.03618, 2019 - arxiv.org
While autonomous vehicle (AV) technology has shown substantial progress, we still lack
tools for rigorous and scalable testing. Real-world testing, the $\textit {de-facto} $ evaluation …

A statistical approach to assessing neural network robustness

S Webb, T Rainforth, YW Teh, MP Kumar - arxiv preprint arxiv:1811.07209, 2018 - arxiv.org
We present a new approach to assessing the robustness of neural networks based on
estimating the proportion of inputs for which a property is violated. Specifically, we estimate …

Adaptive multilevel splitting method for molecular dynamics calculation of benzamidine-trypsin dissociation time

I Teo, CG Mayne, K Schulten… - Journal of chemical theory …, 2016 - ACS Publications
Adaptive multilevel splitting (AMS) is a rare event sampling method that requires minimal
parameter tuning and allows unbiased sampling of transition pathways of a given rare event …

Minimax and maximin space-filling designs: some properties and methods for construction

L Pronzato - Journal de la Société Française de Statistique, 2017 - numdam.org
A few properties of minimax and maximin optimal designs in a compact subset of Rd are
presented, and connections with other space-filling constructions are indicated. Several …

Adaptive multilevel splitting: Historical perspective and recent results

F Cérou, A Guyader, M Rousset - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal …, 2019 - pubs.aip.org
This article first presents a short historical perpective of the importance splitting approach to
simulate and estimate rare events, with a detailed description of several variants. We then …

Deep probabilistic accelerated evaluation: A robust certifiable rare-event simulation methodology for black-box safety-critical systems

M Arief, Z Huang, GKS Kumar, Y Bai… - International …, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
Evaluating the reliability of intelligent physical systems against rare safety-critical events
poses a huge testing burden for real-world applications. Simulation provides a useful …

Coupling rare event algorithms with data-based learned committor functions using the analogue Markov chain

D Lucente, J Rolland, C Herbert… - Journal of Statistical …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Rare events play a crucial role in many physics, chemistry, and biology phenomena, when
they change the structure of the system, for instance in the case of multistability, or when …

A multiple replica approach to simulate reactive trajectories

F Cérou, A Guyader, T Lelievre… - The Journal of chemical …, 2011 - pubs.aip.org
A method to generate reactive trajectories, namely equilibrium trajectories leaving a
metastable state and ending in another one is proposed. The algorithm is based on …

Computing return times or return periods with rare event algorithms

T Lestang, F Ragone, CE Bréhier… - Journal of Statistical …, 2018 - iopscience.iop.org
The average time between two occurrences of the same event, referred to as its return time
(or return period), is a useful statistical concept for practical applications. For instance …