A practical guide to selecting models for exploration, inference, and prediction in ecology
Selecting among competing statistical models is a core challenge in science. However, the
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …
many possible approaches and techniques for model selection, and the conflicting …
Space‐for‐time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution
In an epoch of rapid environmental change, understanding and predicting how biodiversity
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …
Warm springs alter timing but not total growth of temperate deciduous trees
As the climate changes, warmer spring temperatures are causing earlier leaf-out,–and
commencement of CO2 uptake, in temperate deciduous forests, resulting in a tendency …
commencement of CO2 uptake, in temperate deciduous forests, resulting in a tendency …
Phenotypic plasticity in response to climate change: the importance of cue variation
Phenotypic plasticity is a major mechanism of response to global change. However, current
plastic responses will only remain adaptive under future conditions if informative …
plastic responses will only remain adaptive under future conditions if informative …
Joint effects of climate, tree size, and year on annual tree growth derived from tree‐ring records of ten globally distributed forests
Tree rings provide an invaluable long‐term record for understanding how climate and other
drivers shape tree growth and forest productivity. However, conventional tree‐ring analysis …
drivers shape tree growth and forest productivity. However, conventional tree‐ring analysis …
Strengthening the evidence base for temperature-mediated phenological asynchrony and its impacts
Climate warming has caused the seasonal timing of many components of ecological food
chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis …
chains to advance. In the context of trophic interactions, the match–mismatch hypothesis …
Reassessment of growth-climate relations indicates the potential for decline across Eurasian boreal larch forests
Larch, a widely distributed tree in boreal Eurasia, is experiencing rapid warming across
much of its distribution. A comprehensive assessment of growth on warming is needed to …
much of its distribution. A comprehensive assessment of growth on warming is needed to …
Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation
The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with
few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' …
few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' …
climwin: An R Toolbox for Climate Window Analysis
When studying the impacts of climate change, there is a tendency to select climate data from
a small set of arbitrary time periods or climate windows (eg, spring temperature). However …
a small set of arbitrary time periods or climate windows (eg, spring temperature). However …
Proximal microclimate: Moving beyond spatiotemporal resolution improves ecological predictions
Aim The scale of environmental data is often defined by their extent (spatial area, temporal
duration) and resolution (grain size, temporal interval). Although describing climate data …
duration) and resolution (grain size, temporal interval). Although describing climate data …