Financial machine learning

B Kelly, D **u - Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We
highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend …

Estimation of large dimensional conditional factor models in finance

P Gagliardini, E Ossola, O Scaillet - Handbook of econometrics, 2020 - Elsevier
This chapter surveys recent econometric methodologies for inference in large dimensional
conditional factor models in finance. Changes in the business cycle and asset …

[PDF][PDF] Complexity in factor pricing models

A Didisheim, SB Ke, BT Kelly, S Malamud - 2023 - aeaweb.org
Complexity in Factor Pricing Models Page 1 Complexity in Factor Pricing Models Antoine
Didisheim Shikun (Barry) Ke Bryan Kelly Semyon Malamud Uni. Melbourne Yale Yale EPFL AFA …

Robust identification of investor beliefs

X Chen, LP Hansen… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
This paper develops a method informed by data and models to recover information about
investor beliefs. Our approach uses information embedded in forward-looking asset prices in …

Generalized aggregation of misspecified models: With an application to asset pricing

N Gospodinov, E Maasoumi - Journal of Econometrics, 2021 - Elsevier
We propose a generalized aggregation approach for model averaging. The entropy-based
optimal criterion is a natural choice for aggregating information from many “globally” …

Universal thermodynamic uncertainty relation in nonequilibrium dynamics

L Ziyin, M Ueda - Physical Review Research, 2023 - APS
We derive a universal thermodynamic uncertainty relation (TUR) that applies to an arbitrary
observable in a general Markovian system. The generality of our result allows us to make …

[HTML][HTML] Robust inference for moment condition models without rational expectations

X Chen, LP Hansen, PG Hansen - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
Applied researchers using structural models under rational expectations (RE) often confront
empirical evidence of misspecification. In this paper we consider a generic dynamic model …

Pseudo-true SDFs in conditional asset pricing models

B Antoine, K Proulx, E Renault - Journal of Financial …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
This article is motivated by the need to bridge some gap between modern asset pricing
theory and recent developments in econometric methodology. While asset pricing theory …

Economic evaluation of asset pricing models under predictability

E Hansen - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper performs an out-of-sample comparison of linear factor asset pricing models from
an economic perspective under predictability. I assess the economic value added of several …

Regularized Gmm For Time‐Varying Models With Applications To Asset Pricing

L Cui, G Feng, Y Hong - International Economic Review, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a regularized generalized method of moments (RegGMM) approach to
estimating time‐varying coefficient models via a ridge fusion penalty with a high …