[HTML][HTML] Insights into atmospheric predictability through global convection-permitting model simulations

F Judt - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Insights into Atmospheric Predictability through Global Convection-Permitting Model
Simulations in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 75 Issue 5 (2018) Jump to …

Recent progress in modeling imbalance in the atmosphere and ocean

BR Sutherland, U Achatz, CP Caulfield, JM Klymak - Physical Review Fluids, 2019 - APS
Imbalance refers to the departure from the large-scale primarily vortical flows in the
atmosphere and ocean whose motion is governed by a balance of Coriolis, pressure …

Calibration of machine learning–based probabilistic hail predictions for operational forecasting

A Burke, N Snook, DJ Gagne II… - Weather and …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
In this study, we use machine learning (ML) to improve hail prediction by postprocessing
numerical weather prediction (NWP) data from the new High-Resolution Ensemble Forecast …

Idealized tropical cyclone responses to the height and depth of environmental vertical wind shear

PM Finocchio, SJ Majumdar, DS Nolan… - Monthly Weather …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Three sets of idealized, cloud-resolving simulations are performed to investigate the
sensitivity of tropical cyclone (TC) structure and intensity to the height and depth of …

Uncertainties and error growth in forecasting the record-breaking rainfall in Zhengzhou, Henan on 19–20 July 2021

Y Zhang, H Yu, M Zhang, Y Yang, Z Meng - Science China Earth Sciences, 2022 - Springer
This study explores the controlling factors of the uncertainties and error growth at different
spatial and temporal scales in forecasting the high-impact extremely heavy rainfall event that …

Practical and intrinsic predictability of a warm‐sector torrential rainfall event in the South China monsoon region

N Wu, X Zhuang, J Min, Z Meng - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Warm‐sector torrential rainfall (WR) in the South China monsoon region has long been a
forecasting challenge because of the limited capability of numerical models in heavy rainfall …

MS-nowcasting: Operational precipitation nowcasting with convolutional LSTMs at Microsoft weather

S Klocek, H Dong, M Dixon, P Kanengoni… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
We present the encoder-forecaster convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-
learning model that powers Microsoft Weather's operational precipitation nowcasting …

On the dynamical control of the mesosphere–lower thermosphere by the lower and middle atmosphere

AK Smith, NM Pedatella, DR Marsh… - Journal of the …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The NCAR Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) is used to
investigate the dynamical influence of the lower and middle atmosphere on the upper …

[HTML][HTML] Using convection-allowing ensembles to understand the predictability of an extreme rainfall event

ER Nielsen, RS Schumacher - Monthly Weather Review, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Using Convection-Allowing Ensembles to Understand the Predictability of an Extreme
Rainfall Event in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 144 Issue 10 (2016) Jump to Content …

[HTML][HTML] The dependence of the predictability of mesoscale convective systems on the horizontal scale and amplitude of initial errors in idealized simulations

JA Weyn, DR Durran - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
The Dependence of the Predictability of Mesoscale Convective Systems on the Horizontal Scale
and Amplitude of Initial Errors in Idealized Simulations in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences …