Reasoning and decision making are error prone. This is often attributed to a fast,
phylogenetically old System 1. It is striking, however, that perceptuo-motor decision making …

This chapter reviews empirical and theoretical results concerning knowledge of causal
mechanisms—beliefs about how and why events are causally linked. First, it reviews the …

This paper applies algorithmic analysis to financial market text-based data to assess how
narratives and sentiment might drive financial system developments. We find changes in …

This chapter first explains what intuitive theories are, how they can be modeled as
probabilistic, generative programs, and how intuitive theories support various cognitive …

Straight Choices provides a fascinating introduction to the psychology of decision making,
enhanced by discussion of relevant examples of decision problems faced in everyday life …

We note the development of the widely employed but loosely defined construct of critical
thinking from its earliest instantiations as a measure of individual ability to its current status …

A novel proposal that the unified nature of our cognition can be partially explained by a
cognitive architecture based on graphical models. Our ordinary, everyday thinking requires …

Conviction Narrative Theory (CNT) is a theory of choice under radical uncertainty–situations
where outcomes cannot be enumerated and probabilities cannot be assigned. Whereas …

In the philosophy of science why-questions are a way to address the foundations of scientific
explanation. For Bas van Fraassen (1980), a theory of explanation is essentially a theory of …

The understanding of how experts integrate prior situation-specific information (ie,
contextual priors) with emergent visual information when performing dynamic and …