Local lockdowns outperform global lockdown on the far side of the COVID-19 epidemic curve
In the late stages of an epidemic, infections are often sporadic and geographically
distributed. Spatially structured stochastic models can capture these important features of …
distributed. Spatially structured stochastic models can capture these important features of …
A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves
Background Simple phenomenological growth models can be useful for estimating
transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing …
transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing …
Describing, modelling and forecasting the spatial and temporal spread of COVID-19: A short review
J Arino - Mathematics of Public Health: Proceedings of the …, 2021 - Springer
SARS-CoV-2 started propagating worldwide in January 2020 and has now reached virtually
all communities on the planet. This short review provides evidence of this spread and …
all communities on the planet. This short review provides evidence of this spread and …
The effects of human movement on the persistence of vector-borne diseases
With the recent resurgence of vector-borne diseases due to urbanization and development
there is an urgent need to understand the dynamics of vector-borne diseases in rapidly …
there is an urgent need to understand the dynamics of vector-borne diseases in rapidly …
Epidemic thresholds and human mobility
A comprehensive view of disease epidemics demands a deep understanding of the complex
interplay between human behaviour and infectious diseases. Here, we propose a flexible …
interplay between human behaviour and infectious diseases. Here, we propose a flexible …
Asymptotic profiles of the steady states for an SIS epidemic patch model
Spatial heterogeneity, habitat connectivity, and rates of movement can have large impacts
on the persistence and extinction of infectious diseases. These factors are shown to …
on the persistence and extinction of infectious diseases. These factors are shown to …
Toward One Health: a spatial indicator system to model the facilitation of the spread of zoonotic diseases
Recurrent outbreaks of zoonotic infectious diseases highlight the importance of considering
the interconnections between human, animal, and environmental health in disease …
the interconnections between human, animal, and environmental health in disease …
[HTML][HTML] Stability analysis of a fractional order model for the HIV/AIDS epidemic in a patchy environment
H Kheiri, M Jafari - Journal of computational and applied mathematics, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract A multi-patch HIV/AIDS epidemic model with fractional order derivative is
formulated to investigate the effect of human movement on the spread of HIV/AIDS epidemic …
formulated to investigate the effect of human movement on the spread of HIV/AIDS epidemic …
Epidemic modeling with heterogeneity and social diffusion
We propose and analyze a family of epidemiological models that extend the classic
Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered/Removed (SIR)-like framework to account for dynamic …
Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered/Removed (SIR)-like framework to account for dynamic …
SIS and SIR epidemic models under virtual dispersal
We develop a multi-group epidemic framework via virtual dispersal where the risk of
infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel …
infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel …