Local lockdowns outperform global lockdown on the far side of the COVID-19 epidemic curve

VA Karatayev, M Anand… - Proceedings of the …, 2020 - National Acad Sciences
In the late stages of an epidemic, infections are often sporadic and geographically
distributed. Spatially structured stochastic models can capture these important features of …

A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves

G Chowell, A Tariq, JM Hyman - BMC medicine, 2019 - Springer
Background Simple phenomenological growth models can be useful for estimating
transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing …

Describing, modelling and forecasting the spatial and temporal spread of COVID-19: A short review

J Arino - Mathematics of Public Health: Proceedings of the …, 2021 - Springer
SARS-CoV-2 started propagating worldwide in January 2020 and has now reached virtually
all communities on the planet. This short review provides evidence of this spread and …

The effects of human movement on the persistence of vector-borne diseases

C Cosner, JC Beier, RS Cantrell, D Impoinvil… - Journal of theoretical …, 2009 - Elsevier
With the recent resurgence of vector-borne diseases due to urbanization and development
there is an urgent need to understand the dynamics of vector-borne diseases in rapidly …

Epidemic thresholds and human mobility

M Pardo-Araujo, D García-García, D Alonso… - Scientific reports, 2023 - nature.com
A comprehensive view of disease epidemics demands a deep understanding of the complex
interplay between human behaviour and infectious diseases. Here, we propose a flexible …

Asymptotic profiles of the steady states for an SIS epidemic patch model

LJS Allen, BM Bolker, Y Lou, AL Nevai - SIAM Journal on Applied …, 2007 - SIAM
Spatial heterogeneity, habitat connectivity, and rates of movement can have large impacts
on the persistence and extinction of infectious diseases. These factors are shown to …

Toward One Health: a spatial indicator system to model the facilitation of the spread of zoonotic diseases

D Jato-Espino, F Mayor-Vitoria, V Moscardó… - Frontiers in Public …, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Recurrent outbreaks of zoonotic infectious diseases highlight the importance of considering
the interconnections between human, animal, and environmental health in disease …

[HTML][HTML] Stability analysis of a fractional order model for the HIV/AIDS epidemic in a patchy environment

H Kheiri, M Jafari - Journal of computational and applied mathematics, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract A multi-patch HIV/AIDS epidemic model with fractional order derivative is
formulated to investigate the effect of human movement on the spread of HIV/AIDS epidemic …

Epidemic modeling with heterogeneity and social diffusion

H Berestycki, B Desjardins, JS Weitz… - Journal of Mathematical …, 2023 - Springer
We propose and analyze a family of epidemiological models that extend the classic
Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered/Removed (SIR)-like framework to account for dynamic …

SIS and SIR epidemic models under virtual dispersal

D Bichara, Y Kang, C Castillo-Chavez, R Horan… - Bulletin of mathematical …, 2015 - Springer
We develop a multi-group epidemic framework via virtual dispersal where the risk of
infection is a function of the residence time and local environmental risk. This novel …